Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40499980›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American College of Cardiology2025

Predicting Heart Failure Outcomes Using Patient-Reported Health Status: Real-World Validation of the KCCQ-12.

Bassim R El-Sabawi, Mohammed A Al-Garadi, Bryan D Steitz, Amy M Perkins, Allison B McCoy, Donald G Sengstack, Robert A Greevy, Emily H Burnell, Kelly H Schlendorf, JoAnn Lindenfeld and 6 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Observational
  4. Observational
  5. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Bassim R El-SabawiDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Mohammed A Al-GaradiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Bryan D SteitzDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Amy M PerkinsDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Allison B McCoyDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Donald G SengstackDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Robert A GreevyDepartment of Biostatistics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Emily H BurnellOffice of Population Health, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Kelly H SchlendorfDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
JoAnn LindenfeldDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Lynne W StevensonDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Deepak K GuptaDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
John A SpertusUniversity of Missouri-Kansas City's Healthcare Institute for Innovations in Quality and Saint Luke's Mid America Heart Institute, Kansas City, Missouri, USA.
Sean P CollinsDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Veterans Affairs Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Michael E MathenyDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Veterans Affairs Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, Tennessee, USA.
Justin M BachmannDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee, USA; Veterans Affairs Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, Tennessee, USA. Electronic address: justin.m.bachmann@vanderbilt.edu.

Funding

VGM: Vanderbilt Genomic Medicine Training ProgramT32HG008341 · NHGRI · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Nancy J Cox, Joseph F. Peterson · 2016 to 2026
$2.8M
Integrative Data Science Approach to Advance Care Coordination of ADRD by Primary Care ProvidersK01AG083133 · NIA · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Bryan Steitz · 2023 to 2026
$479k
HSRD VA IK2 HX003021NHGRI NIH HHS T32 HG008341NIA NIH HHS K01 AG083133
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire-12 (KCCQ-12), a patient-reported outcome measure for adults with heart failure, is associated with hospitalizations and mortality in clinical trials. Curated data sets from controlled trials differ substantially from pragmatic data collected from real-world settings, however, and few data exist on the KCCQ-12's predictive utility in clinical practice.

objectivesThis study sought to evaluate the predictive utility of the KCCQ-12 for hospitalizations and mortality when administered during outpatient heart failure care.

methodsWe conducted a cohort study of patients assigned the KCCQ-12 in heart failure clinics from July 2019 through March 2024. The primary exposure was KCCQ-12 Overall Summary (KCCQ-OS) score. The primary outcomes were 90-day hospitalization and cumulative mortality. Multivariable-adjusted associations were assessed using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models. Gradient boosting (XGBoost) and random survival forest machine learning models were used to evaluate KCCQ-OS feature importance in predicting 90-day hospitalizations and cumulative mortality, respectively.

resultsAmong 4,406 patients assigned the KCCQ-12, 2,888 (66%) completed at least 1 questionnaire. The median KCCQ-OS score was 59.4 (Q1-Q3: 35.4-81.8). Patients with KCCQ-OS scores <25 had higher adjusted risks of 90-day hospitalization (OR: 3.49; 95% CI: 2.50-4.90) and cumulative mortality (HR: 3.09; 95% CI: 2.29-4.17) compared with those with scores ≥75. The KCCQ-OS score was the most important feature for predicting 90-day hospitalizations in the XGBoost model (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.760; 95% CI: 0.706-0.811) and the most important feature for predicting cumulative mortality in the random survival forest model (C-index 0.783; 95% CI: 0.742-0.824) compared with other clinical, demographic, and laboratory variables. KCCQ-12 noncompletion was independently associated with increased 90-day hospitalization (OR: 1.72; 95% CI: 1.46-2.02) and 1-year mortality (HR: 1.52; 95% CI: 1.25-1.84) after adjusting for all variables in the primary analysis.

conclusionsIn outpatient heart failure care, lower KCCQ-OS scores were strongly associated with increased hospitalizations and mortality, with the greatest risk among patients with scores <25. Noncompletion of the KCCQ-12 was itself associated with worse outcomes. The KCCQ-OS score was the dominant predictor of 90-day hospitalizations and cumulative mortality in machine learning models, supporting the KCCQ-12 as a prognostic tool in routine clinical practice.

Indexed as

Health StatusHeart FailureHospitalizationPatient Reported Outcome MeasuresAgedCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsSurveys and Questionnaireshealth informaticsheart failuremachine learningpatient-reported outcomesprognosis

Identifiers

PMID40499980
PMCPMC13007981

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.