ArticlePloS one2025
Biological control under climate change: Distribution patterns of the South American fruit fly, Anastrepha fraterculus and two of its parasitoids in the Americas.
Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Climate change affects the distribution of insects, such as pests and parasitoids. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) have been developed to determine distribution patterns and risk areas for pests and biological control agents under different climate change scenarios. The South American fruit fly, Anastrepha fraterculus (Wiedemann) (Diptera: Tephritidae), is an important pest of cultivated fruits throughout the Americas that can be controlled by natural enemies, such as the native parasitoid Doryctobracon areolatus (Szépligeti) (Hymenoptera: Braconidae) and the introduced parasitoid Diachasmimorpha longicaudata (Ashmead) (Hymenoptera: Braconidae). However, the control efficacy and parasitism performance of these organisms could be affected by changing environmental conditions. SDMs were conducted using Random Forest to predict suitable areas for the establishment of A. fraterculus, D. areolatus, and D. longicaudata under different climate scenarios or Representative Concentration Pathways (SSPs) (SSP 2-4.5 and 5-8.8) in two different periods (2021-2040 and 2041-2060). Our results predicted an increase in suitable areas for A. fraterculus in the Americas, especially in some South American countries such as Colombia and Brazil. Moreover, the projected distribution of these species is intricately linked to the regional climatic patterns. Temperate and tropical areas were more suitable for the establishment of A. fraterculus; D. areolatus was better suited to temperate climates; while tropical climates were more suitable for D. longicaudata. Suitable areas for the establishment of both parasitoid species were predicted to increase in future climate scenarios, with D. longicaudata having a greater geographical expansion than D. areolatus. These parasitoids could be used as biocontrol agents in almost all areas suitable for the establishment of A. fraterculus.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.