Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40496879›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2025

External validation and update of the pediatric asthma risk score as a passive digital marker for childhood asthma using integrated electronic health records.

Arthur Hamie Owora, Bowen Jiang, Yash Shah, Benjamin Gaston, Malaz Boustani

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Timing of High-Risk Asthma Specialist Enrollment and Severe Asthma Exacerbations in Children.The journal of allergy and clinical immunology. In practice · 2026
    Article
  4. Early initiation of inhaled corticosteroid-long-acting βPediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Prognostic utility of pre-biologic treatment correlates of childhood severe asthma exacerbation risk: Real world evidence.Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology · 2025
    Article
  9. Predictive correlates of poor sleep associated with increased risk of severe asthma exacerbations among children with moderate-to-severe asthma.Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Arthur Hamie OworaDivision of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergy/Immunology and Sleep Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Translational Informatics, Biostatistics and Epidemiology Lab, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indiana, USA.
Bowen JiangDivision of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergy/Immunology and Sleep Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Translational Informatics, Biostatistics and Epidemiology Lab, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indiana, USA.
Yash ShahDivision of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergy/Immunology and Sleep Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Translational Informatics, Biostatistics and Epidemiology Lab, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indiana, USA.
Benjamin GastonDivision of Pediatric Pulmonology, Allergy/Immunology and Sleep Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, Indiana University School of Medicine, Indiana, USA.
Malaz BoustaniRegenstrief Institute, Inc, Indiana, USA.

Funding

S-nitrosylation signaling in asthmaP01HL158507 · NHLBI · INDIANA UNIVERSITY INDIANAPOLIS · PI GASTON, BENJAMIN · 2021 to 2025
$12.0M
Developing a Childhood Asthma Risk Passive Digital MarkerK01HL166436 · NHLBI · TRUSTEES OF INDIANA UNIVERSITY · PI OWORA, ARTHUR HAMIE · 2023 to 2024
$324k
AHRQ HHS R03 HS029088NHLBI NIH HHS K01 HL166436NHLBI NIH HHS P01 HL158507
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: In the search for practical prognostic decision support, numerous childhood asthma prediction tools (including a recent Pediatric Asthma Risk Score [PARS]) with modest prognostic accuracy have been developed, however, the prognostic utility of these tools using existing electronic health records (EHR) in clinical settings is unknown. To test the hypothesis that childhood asthma can be predicted using EHR, we sought to externally validate and update the PARS as a passive digital marker (PDM) for asthma risk. Methods: Using a retrospective, population-based observational study design, children born between 2010 and 2017 who were consecutively enrolled at any of the pediatric healthcare institutions that contribute EHR data to the Indiana Network of Patient Care (INPC) databases were included in our analyses. Logistic and Cox proportional hazards models were used to validate and update the EHR-based PARS as a PDM for the prediction of physician documented diagnosis of asthma between ages 4-11 years. Findings: Among 69,109 eligible children, of whom 5290 (7.65%) had a confirmed asthma diagnosis after age 4-years, our PDM had a higher prognostic accuracy (Area Under the Curve (AUC): 0.79; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.80; sensitivity-0.71 and specificity-0.74) than the EHR-based PARS (AUC: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.75, 0.76; sensitivity-0.74 and specificity-0.68) for early case detection. Both the PDM and EHR-based PARS had satisfactory calibration. For children classified as high-risk at age 3-years, the incidence of asthma was higher using the PDM than the EHR-based PARS (37% vs. 26%, p < 0.0001). Interpretation: It is feasible to use EHR data for childhood asthma risk prediction by updating existing tools (e.g., PARS) with relevant clinical context to assure high prognostic accuracy and clinical utility during early childhood, a period of diagnostic uncertainty. Funding: This study was supported by National Institutes of Health grants, K01HL166436 (AHO), R03HS029088 (AHO) and P01HL158507 (BG).

Indexed as

Childhood asthmaModel developmentRisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID40496879
PMCPMC12148615

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.