Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40494660›Full record

ArticleDiabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association2025

Variation in effectiveness of the NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme in people diagnosed with non-diabetic hyperglycaemia by age, sex, BMI, and deprivation: A matched cohort analysis of 69,801 people.

Rathi Ravindrarajah, Matt Sutton, Peter Bower, Evangelos Kontopantelis

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rathi RavindrarajahDivision of Nursing, Midwifery and Social Work, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4875-4912
Matt SuttonNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Peter BowerNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9558-3349
Evangelos KontopantelisNIHR School for Primary Care Research, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

Funding

National Institute for Health and Care Research
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe NHS Diabetes Prevention Programme (DPP) is a behaviour-change programme aimed at adults diagnosed with non-diabetic hyperglycaemia (NDH), who are at higher risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (Diabetes). This paper explores the heterogeneity in the effectiveness of the DPP by age, sex, BMI, and practice location deprivation (IMD).

methodsMatched cohort analysis with random-effects parametric survival models, evaluating the association between referral to the DPP and conversion to diabetes, with interactions fitted for age, sex, BMI, and IMD.

results18,470 patients referred to the programme were matched to 51,331 controls. None of the interactions of patient characteristics with referrals were statistically significant. For women, the difference in the HR of conversion to diabetes, compared to men, was HR = 0.94 (95% CI: 0.81, 1.08, p = 0.38); For those aged [18-34], HR = 0.79 (95% CI: 0.34, 1.84, p = 0.58) and aged [75-84] HR = 0.86 (95% CI:0.66, 1.12, p = 0.26) compared to those aged [55-64]. The HR for conversion was 0.88 (95% CI:0.62, 1.26, p = 0.49) for those with a BMI ≥ (25-29.9) kg/m

conclusionsThe DPP was effective in reducing conversion rates from NDH to diabetes as shown in our previous study results. The intervention appeared to be similarly effective by age, sex, BMI, and deprivation.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2HyperglycemiaAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBody Mass IndexCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProgram EvaluationSex FactorsState MedicineCPRDelectronic health recordsNHS Diabetes Prevention Programmenon‐diabetic hyperglycaemiatype 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID40494660
PMCPMC12151821

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.