ArticleAcute and critical care2025
Prospective external validation of a deep-learning-based early-warning system for major adverse events in general wards in South Korea.
Article in Acute and critical care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Artificial intelligence and machine learning approaches for patient safety in complex surgery: a review.Patient safety in surgery · 2025Review
- Clinical Context Is More Important than Data Quantity to the Performance of an Artificial Intelligence-Based Early Warning System.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025Article
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Authors and funding
17 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
backgroundAcute deterioration of patients in general wards often leads to major adverse events (MAEs), including unplanned intensive care unit transfers, cardiac arrest, or death. Traditional early warning scores (EWSs) have shown limited predictive accuracy, with frequent false positives. We conducted a prospective observational external validation study of an artificial intelligence (AI)-based EWS, the VitalCare - Major Adverse Event Score (VC-MAES), at a tertiary medical center in the Republic of Korea.
methodsAdult patients from general wards, including internal medicine (IM) and obstetrics and gynecology (OBGYN)-the latter were rarely investigated in prior AI-based EWS studies-were included. The VC-MAES predictions were compared with National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS) predictions using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), and logistic regression for baseline EWS values. False-positives per true positive (FPpTP) were assessed based on the power threshold.
resultsOf 6,039 encounters, 217 (3.6%) had MAEs (IM: 9.5%, OBGYN: 0.26%). Six hours prior to MAEs, the VC-MAES achieved an AUROC of 0.918 and an AUPRC of 0.352, including the OBGYN subgroup (AUROC, 0.964; AUPRC, 0.388), outperforming the NEWS (0.797 and 0.124) and MEWS (0.722 and 0.079). The FPpTP was reduced by up to 71%. Baseline VC-MAES was strongly associated with MAEs (P<0.001).
conclusionsThe VC-MAES significantly outperformed traditional EWSs in predicting adverse events in general ward patients. The robust performance and lower FPpTP suggest that broader adoption of the VC-MAES may improve clinical efficiency and resource allocation in general wards.
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