Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40493225›Full record

ArticleIntensive care medicine2025

Sodium bicarbonate administration for metabolic acidosis in the intensive care unit: a target trial emulation.

Sebastiaan Paul Blank, Ruth Miriam Blank, Kevin B Laupland, Alexis Tabah, Denzil Gill, Aashish Kumar, Kyle White, Antony Attokaran, Stephen Luke, Stephen Whebell and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Intensive care medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Research priorities for intensive care: A stakeholder-informed priority-setting partnership.Critical care and resuscitation : journal of the Australasian Academy of Critical Care Medicine · 2026
    Article
  3. Sodium bicarbonate in critical illness: Correcting acidaemia without changing outcomes?Critical care and resuscitation : journal of the Australasian Academy of Critical Care Medicine · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Bicarbonate therapy: Resuscitating an old remedy with new evidence.Journal of the Intensive Care Society · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Sebastiaan Paul BlankIntensive Care Unit, Cairns Hospital, Cairns, Australia.
Ruth Miriam BlankDepartment of Anaesthesia, Cairns Hospital, Cairns, Australia.
Kevin B LauplandIntensive Care Services, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, Australia.
Alexis TabahSchool of Medicine, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
Denzil GillAdult Intensive Care Services, The Prince Charles Hospital, Chermside, Australia.
Aashish KumarIntensive Care Unit, Logan Hospital, Logan, Australia.
Kyle WhiteSchool of Medicine, Faculty of Health, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, Australia.
Antony AttokaranFaculty of Medicine, Mayne Academy of Critical Care, University of Queensland, St Lucia, Australia.
Stephen LukeIntensive Care Services, Mackay Base Hospital, Mackay, Australia.
Stephen WhebellIntensive Care Unit, Townsville Hospital, Townsville, Australia.
Peter GarrettIntensive Care Unit, Sunshine Coast University Hospital, Birtinya, Australia.
James McCulloughSchool of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Mount Gravatt, Australia.
Philippa McIlroyIntensive Care Unit, Cairns Hospital, Cairns, Australia.
Mahesh RamananIntensive Care Services, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, Australia. Mahesh.Ramanan@health.qld.gov.au.ORCID 0000-0003-4509-4015
Queensland Critical Care Research Network (QCCRN)

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeSodium bicarbonate is commonly administered to treat metabolic acidosis in intensive care units (ICUs). There is limited evidence from randomized trials to support this practice, and observational studies show conflicting results. Our aim was to perform a target trial emulation evaluating the effect of bicarbonate therapy on mortality.

methodsRetrospective cohort study using data from 12 Australian ICUs. Inclusion criteria were adults with pH < 7.3 and PCO

resultsWe identified 6157 eligible admissions, of which 1764 (29%) received sodium bicarbonate. Bicarbonate therapy was associated with a 1.9% absolute mortality reduction for the primary analysis [risk ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80 to 0.91], and significant benefits were seen across all subgroups evaluated. A similar point estimate of 2.1% was observed in the sensitivity analysis, with a sustained mortality reduction seen at 30 days.

conclusionIn this target trial emulation, bicarbonate administration was associated with a small but statistically significant reduction in mortality for patients with metabolic acidosis. Large sample sizes would be required to demonstrate this effect in a randomized trial.

Indexed as

AcidosisSodium BicarbonateAdultAgedAustraliaFemaleHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesSodium BicarbonateAcute kidney injuryCritical careMetabolic acidosisSodium bicarbonate

Identifiers

PMID40493225
PMCPMC12208957

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.