Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40488365›Full record

ArticleMolecular biology and evolution2025

The Data are Insufficient to Confidently Root the SARS-CoV-2 Phylogenetic Tree.

Jesse D Bloom

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular biology and evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Jesse D BloomFred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Seattle, WA 98103, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1267-3408

Funding

High-Performance Compute Cluster for Comprehensive Cancer and Infectious Diseases ResearchS10OD028685 · OD · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI BRADLEY, PHILIP · 2020 to 2020
$2.0M
FHCRC High-Performance Computing ClusterS10OD020069 · OD · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI KOOPERBERG, CHARLES L · 2015 to 2015
$600k
NIH HHS S10 OD020069NIH HHS S10 OD028685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Several years ago, I published a paper that described the discrepancy between outgroup and date-based methods for rooting the SARS-CoV-2 phylogenetic tree, and proposed the discrepancy could arise from biases among the available early viral sequences. Here, I explain why the root remains uncertain, including via an interactive narrative at https://nextstrain.org/groups/jbloomlab/narratives/SARS2-rooting/early-SARS2-trees-v1 that enables the reader to examine the underlying data and understand discrepancies that lead different methods to reach different inferences about the root. I also demonstrate clear evidence of bias among the earliest available sequences, and explain why the root of the SARS-CoV-2 tree cannot be conclusively resolved with the current data.

Indexed as

PhylogenySARS-CoV-2COVID-19Genome, ViralHumansCOVID-19Huanan Seafood Marketlineage Alineage BMRCArooting phylogenetic treeSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID40488365
PMCPMC12147021

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.