Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40483514›Full record

ArticleItalian journal of pediatrics2025

Prediction model for severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia and analysis of macrolide-resistance in children: a case-control study.

Shaoying Liu, Lijun Zhang, Lei Dai, Jinhui Li, Deyuan Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Italian journal of pediatrics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Machine learning-based prediction models for severeFrontiers in public health · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. East Asia as a sentinel: risk-stratified corticosteroid therapy for paediatric macrolide-resistantEuropean respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2026
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. AgeFrontiers in pediatrics · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shaoying LiuDepartment of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Lijun ZhangDepartment of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Lei DaiDepartment of Biotherapy, Cancer Center, State Key Laboratory of Biotherapy, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Jinhui LiDepartment of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China.
Deyuan LiDepartment of Pediatrics, West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610041, China. dudu7549@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3746-1110

Funding

Key Research and Development Program of Sichuan Province 2023YFS0129Key Technologies Research and Development Program 2023YFC2706402Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program 24NSFSC2401
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo analyze the clinical features, laboratory findings, and imaging characteristics of severe Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) in children, identify early warning indicators, and characterize macrolide-resistant M. pneumoniae pneumonia (MRMPP). Additionally, we developed and validated a nomogram model for predicting the risk of SMPP.

methodsThis retrospective cohort study included children diagnosed with M. pneumoniae pneumonia (MPP) who were admitted to the West China Second Hospital of Sichuan University between September 2022 and February 2024. Data on demographics, clinical manifestations, laboratory results, and imaging findings were collected and analyzed.

resultsCompared to non-severe cases, children with SMPP had a significantly longer fever duration (8 days vs. 4 days, P < 0.001), higher peak body temperature (39.3 °C vs. 38.5 °C, P < 0.001), and a higher incidence of wheezing (13% vs. 0%, P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in macrolide resistance rates between the groups (P > 0.05). Radiological analysis revealed a higher frequency of pulmonary consolidation (69% vs. 0%, P < 0.001) and pleural effusion (22% vs. 7%, P = 0.031) in the SMPP cohort. LASSO regression identified eight key predictors: fever duration, peak body temperature, wheezing, extrapulmonary complications, hemoglobin levels, pulmonary consolidation, mosaic sign, and bronchial occlusion. The nomogram demonstrated excellent discriminative ability, with training and validation AUC values of 0.972 (95% CI 0.960-0.984) and 0.975 (95% CI 0.958-0.992), respectively.

conclusionsWe developed and validated a nomogram for quantitative risk assessment of SMPP. This model can aid clinicians in the early identification of severe cases and in optimizing treatment strategies.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsDrug Resistance, BacterialMacrolidesMycoplasma pneumoniaeNomogramsPneumonia, MycoplasmaCase-Control StudiesChildChild, PreschoolChinaFemaleHumansInfantMaleRetrospective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexAnti-Bacterial AgentsMacrolidesDrug resistanceNomogramPrediction modelSevere Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia

Identifiers

PMID40483514
PMCPMC12145612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.