Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40461269›Full record

Observational studyBMJ paediatrics open2025

Prediction of recurrent febrile seizures risk during the same febrile illness in children at a single tertiary centre in Turkiye.

Gül Yücel, Ahmet Kadir Arslan, Bilge Özgör, Serdal Güngör

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ paediatrics open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Gül YücelInonu University, Malatya, Turkey gul.yucel@inonu.edu.tr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5753-9048
Ahmet Kadir ArslanDepartment of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, İnönü Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, Malatya, Turkey.
Bilge ÖzgörPediatric Neurology, İnönü Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, Malatya, Turkey.
Serdal GüngörPediatric Neurology, İnönü Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, Malatya, Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThis study aimed to develop a risk prediction model based on association rule mining to predict recurrent febrile seizures (RFS).

methodsThis is a retrospective observational study that examined the medical records of 105 children who were followed up with febrile seizure (FS) in a tertiary paediatric emergency department between October 2022 and December 2023. Children were divided into RFS and simple FS groups. RFS was defined as seizures occurring more than once within 24 hours of the first FS in the same febrile illness. Risk factors associated with RFS were determined by univariate and multivariate analyses. χ

resultsRFS was detected in 32 out of 105 cases with FS (30.5%). Potential risk factors contributing to the development of RFS were seizure duration, number of recurrent seizures, family history, body temperature, time from fever onset to seizure, time from seizure onset to arrival at the emergency department, hyponatraemia, osmotic pressure and low haemoglobin level. The CBA algorithm obtained a total of 11 classification rules for the two patient groups. Additionally, the cut-off values obtained from CBA and ROC analysis showed satisfactory consistency. The CBA model achieved 97% overall accuracy classification performance.

conclusionThe developed CBA model shows good predictive ability for RFS. The relevant model can be used as a risk estimation tool to identify children at risk of developing RFS.

Indexed as

Seizures, FebrileAlgorithmsChildChild, PreschoolEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansInfantMaleRecurrenceRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveTertiary Care CentersChild HealthNeurologyPhysiologySeizures, FebrileStatistics

Identifiers

PMID40461269
PMCPMC12142038

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.