Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40458734›Full record

ArticleVirus evolution2025

Forecasting influenza A pandemic lineage dominance in the United States using relative reproduction rates.

Michael A Zeller, Rong Zhang, Yvonne C F Su, Kimihitio Ito

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Virus evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Michael A ZellerDepartment of Veterinary Diagnostic & Production Animal Medicine, Iowa State University, 1575 Vet Med, 1850 Christensen Dr, Ames, IA 50011-1134, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5505-6931
Rong ZhangProgramme in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.
Yvonne C F SuProgramme in Emerging Infectious Diseases, Duke-NUS Medical School, 8 College Road, Singapore 169857, Singapore.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4349-9211
Kimihitio ItoInternational Institute for Zoonosis Control, Hokkaido University, Kita 20 Nishi 10, Kita-Ku, Sapporo 001-0020, Japan.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4986-1795

Funding

NIAID Centers of Excellence for Influenza Research and Response: Universal Influenza Vaccine Research Activities75N93021C00016 · NIAID · ST. JUDE CHILDREN'S RESEARCH HOSPITAL · PI WEBBY, RICHARD · 2021 to 2025
$91.4M
NIAID NIH HHS 75N93021C00016
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The 2009 H1N1 pandemic (pdm09) lineage is a major component of the H1 influenza A virus (IAV) that causes seasonal outbreaks annually. Since its introduction in the 2009-10 season, this lineage has evolved into distinct, successive clades in humans. Predicting the fitness of influenza clades is essential to forecasting future prevalence, providing a critical opportunity to develop a response to mitigate infection. The relative fitness of pdm09 lineages was retrospectively inferred

Indexed as

forecastinginfluenzalineagepandemictransmission

Identifiers

PMID40458734
PMCPMC12129065

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.