Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40457396›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2025

Impact of general practitioners and specialists on mortality: a longitudinal study.

Akin Dayan, Erdinc Unal, Egemen Tural

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Akin DayanDepartment of Family Medicine, Diabetes Polyclinic, Haydarpasa Numune Training and Research Hospital, Koşuyolu, Kalfaçeşme sok. No: 1, Üsküdar, Istanbul, 34662, Turkey. akindayan@yahoo.com.
Erdinc UnalDepartment of Health Management, Ardahan University Faculty of Health Sciences, Ardahan Çıldır cad., Ardahan Center, Ardahan, 75000, Turkey.
Egemen TuralDepartment of Family Medicine, Cifteler Family Health Center, Adalar, Yıldırım cad. No: 32, Çifteler/Eskişehir, Eskisehir, 26700 , Turkey.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEvaluating health outcomes is essential for identifying health-related needs; ensuring an adequate number of physicians, their specialties, and their distribution; and formulating new health policies. The causes of death are significant health outcomes. Moreover, there is a strong correlation between a region’s developmental level and cause-specific deaths. This study analysed data from Turkey between 2010 and 2014 to explore the relationship between the number of cases of cause-specific mortality in individuals aged 45 years and older, infant mortality rates (IMR) and total mortality rates in the 15–44 years age group and the availability of general practitioners (GPs) and specialists, aiming to understand the impact of physician numbers on mortality rates.

methodsThis is a retrospective longitudinal study that encompasses an analysis of all 81 provinces in Turkey. The dependent variable is the number of cause-specific deaths, while the independent variables include the number of physicians by specialty, income level, number of hospital beds, and number of high school graduates. Linear regression models with random effects were utilized for statistical analysis, facilitating the calculation of coefficients for each province.

resultsThe results revealed a significant negative correlation between the number of GPs and mortality due to ischaemic heart disease (IHD), central nervous system diseases (CNSD), malignancies, diabetes, and IMR. As the number of GPs increased, the rates of these mortalities decreased. The availability of cardiologists was negatively correlated with mortality from IHD, and the availability of neurologists was negatively correlated with mortality from CNSD. The overall specialist ratio was negatively correlated with the mortality rate in individuals aged 15–44 years. The number of deaths from chronic diseases was higher in the more developed western regions of the country. In contrast, mortality rates among those aged 15–44 years and infant mortality rates were higher in the eastern provinces.

conclusionThe number of GPs significantly impacts the reduction in the number of deaths from chronic diseases and IMR. Strengthening primary care services by increasing the number of GPs who can reach a wider population effectively and cost-efficiently will be a key factor in improving public health.

Indexed as

General PractitionersMortalitySpecializationAdolescentAdultAgedCause of DeathFemaleHumansInfantInfant MortalityLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesTurkeyChronic diseaseInfant mortalityMortalityPhysiciansPrimary care

Identifiers

PMID40457396
PMCPMC12128328

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.