Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40455984›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2025

Declining coral calcification to enhance twenty-first-century ocean carbon uptake by gigatonnes.

Lester Kwiatkowski, Alban Planchat, Marc Pyolle, Olivier Torres, Nathaelle Bouttes, Adrien Comte, Laurent Bopp

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Lester Kwiatkowski *Laboratoire d'océanographie et du climat: expérimentations et approches numériques, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, Institut de recherche pour le développement, Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle, Paris 75005, France.ORCID 0000-0002-6769-5957
Alban Planchat *Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, Département de Géosciences, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université, Paris 75005, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4108-1444
Marc PyolleLaboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, Département de Géosciences, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université, Paris 75005, France.
Olivier TorresLaboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, Département de Géosciences, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université, Paris 75005, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3713-1576
Nathaelle BouttesLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Commissariat à l'Énergie Atomique et aux Énergies Alternatives, CNRS, Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette 91191, France.
Adrien ComteLaboratoire des sciences de l'environnement marin, Institut de recherche pour le développement, Université Brest, CNRS, Ifremer, Plouzané 29280, France.ORCID 0000-0001-9895-0669
Laurent BoppLaboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace, Ecole Normale Supérieure/Université Paris Sciences et Lettres, Département de Géosciences, CNRS, Ecole Polytechnique, Sorbonne Université, Paris 75005, France.

Funding

Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) ANR-22-CE02-0025EC | ERC | HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council (ERC) 101137673
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The sensitivity of coral reefs to climate change is well established. As the oceans warm and acidify, the calcification of coral reefs declines with net calcium carbonate dissolution projected under even moderate emissions trajectories. The impact of this on the global carbon cycle is however yet to be accounted for. Here, we use a synthesis of the sensitivity of coral reef calcification to climate change, alongside reef distribution products to estimate alkalinity and dissolved inorganic carbon fluxes resulting from reductions in reef calcification. Using a global ocean biogeochemical model, we simulate the impact on ocean carbon uptake under different emissions scenarios, accounting for uncertainty in present-day calcification rates. Reductions in net coral reef carbonate production can enhance the ocean carbon sink by up to 1.25 GtCO

Indexed as

AnthozoaCalcification, PhysiologicCarbonCoral ReefsAnimalsCarbon CycleClimate ChangeOceans and SeasSeawaterCarboncalcificationcarbonclimatecoral reeffeedback

Identifiers

PMID40455984
PMCPMC12167964

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.