Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40449122›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of surgical research2025

"Watch-and-Wait" or "Lost to Follow-Up"? Adherence to Nonoperative Management of Rectal Cancer.

Merrill Rubens, Oluseye Oduyale, Ahmed Amged Eltahir, Hyun Kim, Kerri Ohman, Paul Wise, Steven Hunt, Matthew Silviera, Matthew Mutch, Sean Christopher Glasgow and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of surgical research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Merrill RubensDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Oluseye OduyaleDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri. Electronic address: ooduyale@wustl.edu.
Ahmed Amged EltahirDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Hyun KimDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Kerri OhmanDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Paul WiseDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Steven HuntDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Matthew SilvieraDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Matthew MutchDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.
Sean Christopher GlasgowDepartment of Surgery, James Quillen VA Medical Center, East Tennessee State University School of Medicine, Johnson City, Tennessee.
Radhika SmithDepartment of Surgery, AdventHealth Medical Group, Orlando, Florida.
William ChapmanDepartment of Surgery, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri.

Funding

SURGICAL ONCOLOGY TRAINING GRANTT32CA009621 · NCI · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI TIMOTHY J. EBERLEIN, William E. Gillanders · 1988 to 2026
$12.9M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA009621
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDue to potential for local regrowth in patients undergoing nonoperative management (NOM) of rectal adenocarcinoma, current guidelines recommend offering close surveillance in a "watch-and-wait" paradigm. These regimens require many visits, potentially posing significant burden on patients. There is a paucity of data regarding optimal frequency of examinations. We sought to determine adherence to recommended surveillance, identify predictors of poor adherence, and evaluate its association with on oncologic outcomes during the first 2 y after clinical complete response (cCR).

methodsWe analyzed a prospectively maintained registry of rectal cancer patients who opted for NOM following cCR after treatment with radiation and chemotherapy between June 2016 and 2021. Surveillance was per-protocol and entailed periodic luminal exams and cross-sectional imaging. Adherence was quantified as the percentage of recommended examinations completed annually or until local regrowth.

resultsOf 255 patients treated with radiation and chemotherapy, 107 patients achieved cCR and met inclusion criteria. Sixty-five had a sustained cCR and were eligible for a second year of surveillance. Fifty-four patients (50.5%) were fully adherent with the minimum number of recommended surveillance exams in the first year of NOM, and 22 (34%) in the second. Local regrowth was identified in 32 patients (30%), of whom 29 underwent surgery, with all but 1 achieving an R0 resection.

conclusionsLess than half of patients adhered fully to recommended surveillance exams in the first 2 y of NOM. Improving real-world adherence to NOM surveillance requires a regimen that balances oncologic safety with patient burden, alongside collaborative systems-based practices.

Indexed as

AdenocarcinomaGuideline AdherenceNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPatient ComplianceRectal NeoplasmsWatchful WaitingAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRegistriesLocal regrowthNonoperative management (NOM)Rectal cancerSurveillance adherenceWatch-and-wait

Identifiers

PMID40449122
PMCPMC13127459

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.