ArticlePloS one2025
Long-run causal impact of the 2011 Economic Adjustment Programme on Portuguese population health.
Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In 2011, Portugal signed a bailout programme to be implemented over a 3-year period, from 2011 to mid-2014. This programme included a set of measures to control and reduce the public sector, which included interventions in areas such as public spending and financing, the labour market, education, and health, among other structural budget measures. The aim of this research is to determine the long-run causal impact of implementing this Economic Adjustment Programme on several population health outcomes. Data was collected for the period 1990-2019 for Portugal. Health outcome indicators account for DALY and HLY, among other general health indicators, but also for some specific mortality rates like those for stroke and cancer. Control variables include percentage of population older than 65, percentage of people with a university degree, CO2 emissions for Portugal, and also health outcomes data for Denmark, Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. The analytical method used is based on a Bayesian structural time series model, which builds a contrafactual scenario representing the absence of the Economic Adjustment Programme for comparison with observed data. The most significant result is the negative long-run causal impact arising from the implementation of the Economic Adjustment Programme in 2011 in Portugal; in other words, health improvements would have been better and faster had the bailout programme not been implemented, despite some level of uncertainty regarding the results. Findings reinforce the idea for the implementation of social and health policies that complement IMF bailout programmes to mitigate negative impacts on population health in the long-run.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.