Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40442865›Full record

ArticleCPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology2026

Examining the Reliability of Model-Based Meta-Analysis (MBMA) Outcomes: A Simulation Study.

Jiesen Yu, Ting Li, Jieren Luo, Qingshan Zheng, Lujin Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jiesen YuCenter for Pharmacometrics, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4095-8454
Ting LiShanghai Chest Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Jieren LuoCenter for Pharmacometrics, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8847-8997
Qingshan ZhengCenter for Pharmacometrics, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.
Lujin LiCenter for Pharmacometrics, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Model-based meta-analysis (MBMA) can be utilized to synthesize literature data and predict drug efficacy, particularly suitable for constructing external comparator arms for non-randomized controlled trials (NRCTs). This study evaluated the reliability of MBMA by comparing covariate models generated through MBMA to individual patient data. A pharmacodynamic covariate model, commonly employed in MBMA, was used to set true parameter values and simulate data across various scenarios. The reliability of MBMA models was assessed by comparing estimated to true parameter values and identifying optimal conditions for MBMA use. Linear and nonlinear covariate models were evaluated in 24 scenarios, focusing on the relative deviations of parameter estimates from their true values. Evaluation metrics included minimization successful rate, covariate introduction rate, and the accuracy of parameters such as E

Indexed as

Meta-Analysis as TopicModels, BiologicalComputer SimulationHumansReproducibility of Resultsexternal controlsmodel‐based meta‐analysispharmacometricssimulation study

Identifiers

PMID40442865
PMCPMC12823777

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.