Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40439773›Full record

Observational studyDiabetologia2025

Prevention of diabetic ketoacidosis in relatives screened for islet autoantibodies and followed up in the TrialNet Pathway to Prevention study at a single institution in Italy.

Sabina Martinenghi, Aurora Merolla, Pauline Grogan, Eleonora Bianconi, Elisa Senni, Anastasia Goncharova, Francesco Massara, Francesca Ragogna, Elena Bazzigaluppi, Matteo R Pastore and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Diabetologia, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT00097292 (TrialNet Pathway to Prevention of T1D), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT00097292 recruitingnot on this map

TrialNet Pathway to Prevention of T1D

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity of South FloridaRan2004 to 2030Enrolled75,000ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Sabina MartinenghiDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Aurora MerollaSan Raffaele Vita Salute University, Milan, Italy.
Pauline GroganDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Eleonora BianconiDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Elisa SenniSan Raffaele Vita Salute University, Milan, Italy.
Anastasia GoncharovaSan Raffaele Vita Salute University, Milan, Italy.
Francesco MassaraSan Raffaele Vita Salute University, Milan, Italy.
Francesca RagognaDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Elena BazzigaluppiDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Matteo R PastoreDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy.
Riccardo BonfantiSan Raffaele Vita Salute University, Milan, Italy.
Emanuele BosiDiabetes Research Institute, IRCCS San Raffaele Scientific Hospital, Milan, Italy. bosi.emanuele@hsr.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2371-2495

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisScreening for islet autoantibodies is an effective method for identifying individuals with pre-symptomatic (stage 1 and 2) type 1 diabetes. This approach offers a valuable opportunity for education and monitoring, which can help to reduce the severity of clinical manifestations at clinical onset (stage 3), including diabetic ketoacidosis. The aim of the study was to evaluate the progression to stage 3 and the incidence of diabetic ketoacidosis in relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes screened and followed up at a single institution in Italy.

methodsThis was a single-centre observational study conducted at San Raffaele Hospital, Milan, Italy, within the international multisite TrialNet Natural History Study-Pathway to Prevention. First-degree (aged 1-45 years) and second-degree (aged 1-20 years) relatives were screened primarily for GADA, IAA and IA-2A. In the event of a positive result, subsequent testing was conducted for ICA and ZnT8A. Periodic autoantibody testing, metabolic monitoring and educational support were offered to all autoantibody-positive participants. Participants were screened between July 2005 and February 2020, with the latest update obtained between January 2023 and June 2024.

resultsIn total, 4046 relatives were screened at a median (IQR) age of 17.6 (7.9-38.0) years. At first screening, 4.9% were found to be positive, with 3.1% having a single autoantibody and 1.8% multiple autoantibodies. Follow-up data were available for 78.5% of the participants, with a median (IQR) follow-up time of 9.9 (6.5-13.5) years. Progression to stage 3 was observed in 51 (1.6%) participants. Disease onset occurred in 0.4% of autoantibody-negative, 6.5% of single-positive and 43.1% of multiple-positive participants after a median (IQR) time of 7.8 (5.4-10.4), 7.9 (2.1-11.8) and 2.9 (0.9-6.5) years, respectively (p=0.012). The Kaplan-Meier survival free of clinical diabetes at 15 years was 99.5% (95% CI 99.1, 99.7), 87.3% (95% CI 74.4, 94.0) and 45.9% (95% CI 31.1, 59.6), respectively (p<0.001). At the time of disease onset, no occurrences of diabetic ketoacidosis were documented. Median (IQR) HbA CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThe early identification of individuals at risk for type 1 diabetes through a single-centre approach, combining autoantibody screening and regular monitoring, completely prevented diabetes-associated ketoacidosis at disease onset in relatives of individuals with type 1 diabetes.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT00097292.

Indexed as

AutoantibodiesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Diabetic KetoacidosisIslets of LangerhansAdolescentAdultChildChild, PreschoolFamilyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansInfantItalyMaleMiddle AgedAutoantibodiesAutoantibodyDiabetic ketoacidosisMonitoringPreventionScreeningType 1 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID40439773
PMCPMC12361266

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.