Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40439444›Full record

ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2025

Force of Infection Model for Estimating Time to Dengue Virus Seropositivity among Expatriate Populations, Thailand.

Erica Rapheal, Amornphat Kitro, Hisham Imad, Marco Hamins-Peurtolas, Jutarmas Olanwijitwong, Lapakorn Chatapat, Taweewun Hunsawong, Kathryn Anderson, Watcharapong Piyaphanee

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Erica Rapheal
Amornphat Kitro
Hisham Imad
Marco Hamins-Peurtolas
Jutarmas Olanwijitwong
Lapakorn Chatapat
Taweewun Hunsawong
Kathryn Anderson
Watcharapong Piyaphanee

Funding

VIRAL DETERMINANTS OF SEVERE DENGUE DISEASEP01AI034533 · NIAID · UNIV OF MASSACHUSETTS MED SCH WORCESTER · PI ROTHMAN, ALAN L · 1994 to 2022
$42.0M
Defining correlates of protection from dengue illness in a long-term cohort study of multigenerational house-holds in ThailandR01AI175941 · NIAID · UPSTATE MEDICAL UNIVERSITY · PI Kathryn B Anderson · 2023 to 2026
$2.7M
NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI034533NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI175941
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dengue is a major cause of illness among local populations and travelers in dengue-endemic areas, particularly those who stay for an extended period. However, little is known about dengue risk among expatriates and other long-term travelers. We used catalytic models of force of infection to estimate time to 60% dengue virus (DENV) seropositivity for a cross-section of expatriates living in Bangkok and Pattaya, Thailand. Our model adjusted for daily time spent outside, years not exposed to DENV, sex, living environment, and use of mosquito repellent, nets, long sleeves, and air conditioning. We estimated an adjusted annual force of infection of 0.014 (95% CI 0.003-0.054) per year spent in dengue-endemic areas (67.3 years to 60% seropositivity), below that of local populations. Our findings suggest that expatriates have a DENV exposure profile distinct from locals and short-term travelers and should likely be considered independently when developing vaccine and prevention recommendations.

Indexed as

DengueDengue VirusAdolescentAdultAntibodies, ViralFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSeroepidemiologic StudiesThailandTime FactorsTravelYoung AdultAntibodies, Viralarbovirusesdengueepidemiological modelsThailandtravel medicinevaccinesvector-borne infectionsviruses

Identifiers

PMID40439444
PMCPMC12123937

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.