Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40439430›Full record

ReviewEmerging infectious diseases2025

Genomic Surveillance of Climate-Amplified Cholera Outbreak, Malawi, 2022-2023.

Lucious Chabuka, Wonderful T Choga, Carla N Mavian, Monika Moir, Christian Morgenstern, Houriiyah Tegally, Abhinav Sharma, Eduan Wilkinson, Yeshnee Naidoo, Rhys Inward and 24 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Emerging infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

34 authors.

Lucious Chabuka
Wonderful T Choga
Carla N Mavian
Monika Moir
Christian Morgenstern
Houriiyah Tegally
Abhinav Sharma
Eduan Wilkinson
Yeshnee Naidoo
Rhys Inward
Samir Bhatt
G R William Wint
Kamran Khan
Isaac I Bogoch
Moritz U G Kraemer
José Lourenço
Cheryl Baxter
Massimiliano Tagliamonte
Marco Salemi
Richard J Lessells
Collins Mitambo
Ronald Chitatanga
Joseph Bitilinyu-Bango
Mabvuto Chiwaula
Yollamu Chavula
Mphatso Bukhu
Happy Manda
Moses Chitenje
Innocent Malolo
Alex Mwanyongo
Bernard Mvula
Mirrium Nyenje
Tulio de Oliveira
Mathew Kagoli

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the aftermath of 2 extreme weather events in 2022, Malawi experienced a severe cholera outbreak; 59,325 cases and 1,774 deaths were reported by March 31, 2024. We generated 49 Vibrio cholerae full genomes from isolates collected during December 2022-March 2023. Phylogenetic and phylogeographic methods confirmed that the Malawi outbreak strains originated from Pakistan's 2022 cholera outbreak. That finding aligns with substantial travel between the 2 countries. The estimated most recent ancestor of this lineage was from June-August 2022, coinciding with Pakistan's floods and cholera surge. Our analysis indicates that major floods in Malawi contributed to the outbreak; reproduction numbers peaked in late December 2022. We conclude that extreme weather events and humanitarian crises in Malawi created conditions conducive to the spread of cholera, and population displacement likely contributed to transmission to susceptible populations in areas relatively unaffected by cholera for more than a decade.

Indexed as

CholeraDisease OutbreaksVibrio choleraeClimateGenome, BacterialGenomicsHumansMalawiPakistanPhylogenyPhylogeographybacteriacholeraclimateenteric infectionsfloodinggenomic surveillanceMalawiphylodynamics

Identifiers

PMID40439430
PMCPMC12123921

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.