Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40438025›Full record

SynthesisPsychological medicine2025

Cumulative exposure to childhood adversity and risk of adult psychosis: a dose-response meta-analysis.

Aidan Flinn, Rebecca Hefferman-Clarke, Sophie Parker, Kate Allsopp, Lan Zhou, Marieke Begemann, Richard Bentall, Filippo Varese

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisReview
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Psychological medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Aidan FlinnDivision of Psychology and Mental Health, School of Health Sciences, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, https://ror.org/027m9bs27University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7656-1363
Rebecca Hefferman-ClarkeDivision of Psychology and Mental Health, School of Health Sciences, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, https://ror.org/027m9bs27University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Sophie ParkerDivision of Psychology and Mental Health, School of Health Sciences, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, https://ror.org/027m9bs27University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Kate AllsoppDivision of Psychology and Mental Health, School of Health Sciences, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, https://ror.org/027m9bs27University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.
Lan ZhouCognitive Neuroscience Center, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Marieke BegemannCognitive Neuroscience Center, University Medical Center Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Richard BentallSchool of Psychology, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Filippo VareseDivision of Psychology and Mental Health, School of Health Sciences, Manchester Academic Health Science Centre, https://ror.org/027m9bs27University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7244-598X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPast meta-analyses have confirmed robust associations between childhood traumatic experiences and the risk of psychosis. However, the dose-response relationship between cumulative adversity exposure and psychosis risk observed in some, but not all, previous studies in this area has not been specifically scrutinized or substantiated via recommended meta-analytic methods. This meta-analysis aimed to synthesize the available evidence on dose-response effects between childhood trauma and psychosis outcomes.

methodsPsycINFO, PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, CNKI, and WANFANG were searched from inception to July 2024 to identify observational studies reporting odds ratios for psychosis outcomes across multiple levels of childhood trauma exposure. Dose-response effects were extracted from eligible studies and synthesized via robust error meta-regression analyses.

resultsTwenty-one studies comprising 59,975 participants were included in the meta-analysis. A significant nonlinear relationship was observed between the number of childhood adversities and the risk of future psychosis experiences (

conclusionsThis meta-analysis provides robust evidence for a dose-response relationship between cumulative childhood adversity and psychosis risk, with nonlinear patterns suggestive of an accelerating, more pronounced, risk at higher levels of trauma exposure. These findings underscore the importance of considering childhood traumatic experiences as a putative and potentially causative risk factor for psychotic experiences, as well as early prevention and intervention efforts targeting childhood adversity to reduce the risk of psychosis.

Indexed as

Adult Survivors of Child Adverse EventsAdverse Childhood ExperiencesPsychotic DisordersAdultChildHumansRisk Factorschildhood adversitydose–responsemeta-analysispsychosistrauma

Identifiers

PMID40438025
PMCPMC12150334

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.