Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40437583›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2025

Factors associated with overreporting based on community verification results in a performance-based financing program in Zimbabwe.

Trina Gorman, Pia Arce, Gabrielle O'Malley, Taurai Kambeu, Brian Maponga, Jabulani Mavudze, Sinokuthemba Xaba, Getrude Ncube, Bernardo Hernandez

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Trina GormanDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA. trina@gormanconsulting.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0003-6954-8322
Pia ArceGorman Consulting, Edmonds, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0005-1470-7378
Gabrielle O'MalleyDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7514-8240
Taurai KambeuPopulation Services International, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-4939-2955
Brian MapongaPopulation Services International, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Jabulani MavudzePopulation Services International, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0009-6792-0526
Sinokuthemba XabaThe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4984-7053
Getrude NcubeThe Ministry of Health and Child Care, Harare, Zimbabwe.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8873-8901
Bernardo HernandezSchool of Public Health, National Institute of Public Health of Mexico, Cuernavaca, Mexico.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5960-8841

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile most Performance Based Financing (PBF) programs perform community verifications to confirm patients received reported services, many focus analysis and payment calculations on facility record verification due to their lower cost. Risk-based sampling can reduce the cost of community verifications by targeting areas with the highest risk of overreporting but there is little research on the factors associated with risk to guide sampling decisions.

objectiveThis study explores facility-level and district-level factors associated with overreporting within a PBF setting.

methodsUsing community verification data from a Voluntary Medical Male Circumcision (VMMC) program in Zimbabwe, we estimated two binary outcomes with generalized mixed effects models. Our primary outcome is a measure of overreporting, defined as when interviewed patients did not plausibly confirm receipt of the VMMC. Additionally, we assessed factors associated with patients who were selected but ultimately not interviewed. We employed inverse probability of treatment weighting to address non-response and bootstrapping-based multiple imputation to address missingness.

resultsWe found that patients in the target age range, which were compensated at a higher price point, were less likely to be interviewed and over two times more likely to be classified as overreported compared to patients outside this age range (OR: 2.92, 95% CI: 2.38-3.59). Patients from outside the fixed health facility were more likely to be interviewed and less likely to be classified as overreported. In-person interviews as opposed to phone interviews appeared to be a worthwhile investment (OR: 1.61, 95% CI: 1.20-2.16).

conclusionWe identified various factors that were associated with unsubstantiated VMMCs to inform risk-based sampling; however, our findings also suggest potential data fabrication. Programs should consider employing similar methods to reduce costs and increase the use of community verification data.

Indexed as

Circumcision, MaleReimbursement, IncentiveAdolescentAdultHumansMaleMiddle AgedYoung AdultZimbabweCommunity verificationOverreportingPatient verificationPerformance-based financingRisk-based sampling

Identifiers

PMID40437583
PMCPMC12121126

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.