ArticleBMC cancer2025
Tracheal, bronchus, and lung cancer among older adults: thirty-year global burden trends, precision medicine breakthroughs, and lingering barriers.
Article in BMC cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The disease burden of ILD at the global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021, and projections until 2035: the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study.Frontiers in medicine · 2025Pooled it
- The shifting burden of tracheal, bronchus and lung cancer in ageing Asia: structural drivers and projections to 2050.Annals of medicine · 2026Article
- Publication Characteristics and Reporting Quality of GBD-Derived Burden of Disease Studies: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of Lung Cancer.Journal of evidence-based medicine · 2026Article
- Gene-based lung cancer detection system through omix data and optimized convolutional neural network.Journal of computer-aided molecular design · 2026Article
- Peripheral blood T-lymphocyte subsets provide prediction of early postoperative recurrence in elderly patients with lung cancer: model development and external validation.Frontiers in oncology · 2026Article
- Trends in incidence and mortality of lung cancer and age-period-cohort model analysis in Zibo, Shandong Province, 2014-2024.Frontiers in oncology · 2026Article
- Smart nanoplatforms for early detection and immune modulation in lung cancer.Frontiers in bioengineering and biotechnology · 2025Review
- Global burden of aortic aneurysm attributable to high-sodium diet from 1990 to 2021.Frontiers in nutrition · 2025Article
- Persistent burden and health inequalities of lung cancer among adolescents and young adults, 1990-2021.Frontiers in oncology · 2025Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundTracheal, bronchial, and lung (TBL) cancer presents significant health challenges for individuals aged 70 and older. However, comprehensive insights into the epidemiological patterns of and risk factors for TBL cancer in this population remain limited. This study aimed to analyze the global, regional, and national burdens and trends of TBL cancer patients aged ≥ 70 years from 1990-2021.
methodsThe incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for TBL cancer patients aged ≥ 70 years from 1990-2021 were obtained from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease study. Global trends were stratified age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Decomposition analysis identified the primary drivers of burden changes, and a global risk attribution analysis was conducted. The Bayesian Age‒Period‒Cohort (BAPC) model forecasted trends over the next 14 years. The analyses were performed with Joinpoint software and the R software.
resultsFrom 1990-2021, the ASIRs, ASMRs, and ASDRs of TBL cancer among patients ≥ 70 years increase significantly, mainly due to aging and population growth. In the precision medicine era (2015-2021), these indicators for both sexes and males have declined, but the burden among females has increased. The burden varies across regions, with the incidence of TBL cancer increasing more severely in middle-SDI regions, East Asia, and western sub-Saharan Africa, whereas high-SDI regions have shown a decline after peaking. Although the DALY proportion of smoking decreased, it was still the main cause of TBL cancer. However, the burden of environmental particulate pollution has increased. The BAPC model predicted that in the future, the ASIR, ASMR, and ASDR for males and both sexes would decrease, whereas these indicators would either remain stable or increase among females.
conclusionsThe burden of TBL cancer is increasing significantly among patients aged ≥ 70 years. Despite new hopes and approaches from precision medicine, environmental and behavioral factors still critically influence the TBL cancer burden. Future strategies could enhance subgroup-specific management and promote effective control of known risk factors.
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