Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40434566›Full record

SynthesisJournal of endocrinological investigation2025

The myth of iodine: A systematic review and meta-analysis on the relationship between iodine and thyroid nodule.

Willy Gräfe, Sandy Scheibe, Josy Schwarz, Lukas Liebig, Karen Voigt, Jeannine Schübel

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of endocrinological investigation, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Dietary and Urinary Iodine in Relation to Thyroid Cancer Risk: A Meta-Analysis.Cancer control : journal of the Moffitt Cancer Center
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Willy GräfeDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany. willy.graefe@ukdd.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-1094-933X
Sandy ScheibeDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany.
Josy SchwarzDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany.
Lukas LiebigDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany.
Karen VoigtDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany.
Jeannine SchübelDepartment of General Practice, Faculty of Medicine Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Saxony, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIodine is an essential trace element for thyroid hormone synthesis, and its role in thyroid health has been widely studied. While iodine deficiency is recognized as a risk factor for goiter, its association with thyroid nodules remains controversial. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to evaluate the relationship between iodine intake and the development of thyroid nodules.

methodsA systematic literature search was conducted in Medline (via PubMed), the Cochrane Library, and guideline registries (AWMF, GIN) for studies published between 2012 and 2023. Inclusion criteria focused on studies examining the association between iodine intake and thyroid nodule. Systematic review has been conducted whereas study quality was assessed using the checklists of Critical Appraisal Skills Programme (CASP). A meta-analysis was performed for studies reporting odds ratios based on WHO-defined iodine categories.

resultsA total of 31 studies were included. Most studies (n = 23) were cross-sectional, limiting causal conclusions. The most used method for assessing iodine intake was urinary iodine concentration (UIC), though measurement approaches varied. N = 10 studies compared median UIC between groups with and without thyroid nodules, with n = 8 reporting significant differences. However, the iodine levels in both groups often remained within the WHO-defined adequate iodine range. N = 8 studies examined odds ratios for iodine intake and thyroid nodule risk, with n = 5 identifying iodine deficiency (< 100 μg/L) as a significant risk factor. However, results for more than adequate (> 200 μg/L) and excessive iodine intake (> 300 μg/L) were inconsistent. N = 3 studies suggested a U-shaped relationship between iodine and thyroid nodule prevalence, but meta-analysis findings did not confirm this hypothesis. The pooled odds ratio for iodine deficiency was 1.24 (95% CI [1.16-1.33], I

conclusionThis systematic review and meta-analysis indicate that iodine deficiency increases moderately the risk of developing thyroid nodules, while more than adequate and excessive iodine intake does not show a consistent effect. However, the heterogeneity of study results and the predominance of cross-sectional designs limit definitive conclusions. Further prospective studies are needed to clarify the causal relationship between iodine intake and thyroid nodules.

Indexed as

IodineThyroid NoduleHumansRisk FactorsIodineIodine intakeMeta-analysisSystematic reviewThyroid noduleUrinary iodine concentration

Identifiers

PMID40434566
PMCPMC12313809

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.