Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40424454›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Assessing yield stability of pearl millet and rice cropping systems across West Africa using long-term experiments and a modeling approach.

Louis Kouadio, Kristina Fraser, Ali Ibrahim, Kazuki Saito, Fatondji Dougbedji, Kalimuthu Senthilkumar

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Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Louis KouadioAfrica Rice Center (AfricaRice), Bouake, Côte d'Ivoire.ORCID 0000-0001-9669-7807
Kristina FraserAfrica Rice Center (AfricaRice), Bouake, Côte d'Ivoire.
Ali IbrahimAfrica Rice Center (AfricaRice), Regional Station for the Sahel, Saint Louis, Senegal.ORCID 0000-0002-8454-0551
Kazuki SaitoAfrica Rice Center (AfricaRice), Bouake, Côte d'Ivoire.ORCID 0000-0002-8609-2713
Fatondji DougbedjiInternational Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT), Bamako, Mali.
Kalimuthu SenthilkumarAfrica Rice Center (AfricaRice), Antananarivo, Madagascar.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Long-term field experiments (LTEs) provide invaluable insights into temporal yield patterns of agronomic interventions. However, the number of LTEs and agronomic management options tested withing these experiments remain limited compared to the diversity of farming systems in West Africa. Well-tested crop models may be used to identify crop management strategies with high temporal yield stability. This study examines the yield stability of pearl millet and rice under various management options in West Africa, utilizing both experimental and modeling approaches. The Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) for pearl millet and rice were calibrated and tested for locally-recommended varieties using LTE data from Niger (pearl millet) and Senegal (rice). Yield stability was evaluated with multiple metrics, including the adjusted coefficient of variation, the sustainable yield index, and the Finlay-Wilkinson regression coefficient. Both APSIM models exhibited a strong performance for grain yield, with Willmott's indices of agreement at 0.74 for pearl millet and 0.90 for rice, and absolute root mean square errors of 0.19 and 1.20 Mg ha-1, respectively. The models effectively reproduced yield stability patterns across a variety of management options including planting date, planting density, fertilizer treatments, and residue retention. Combining fertilizer applications with crop residue retention enhanced yield stability in pearl millet, while season-specific nitrogen management strategies reduced yield variability in rice. Our study underscores the potential of well-tested crop models to complement LTEs in investigating pearl millet and rice yield stability, offering actionable insights for agronomic intensification strategies to enhance productivity and sustainability.

Indexed as

AgricultureCrop ProductionCrops, AgriculturalOryzaPennisetumAfrica, Western

Identifiers

PMID40424454
PMCPMC12112412

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.