Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40423530›Full record

ArticleClinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research2025

Early Dynamics of Circulating Tumor HPV-DNA with Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Response-Adapted De-escalation in Human Papillomavirus-Associated Oropharyngeal Cancer.

Ari J Rosenberg, Evgeny Izumchenko, Aditya Juloori, Rohan Katipally, John Cursio, Noura Choudhury, Zhen Gooi, Elizabeth Blair, Jeffrey Chin, Rifat Hasina and 9 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Ari J RosenbergDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0001-5908-0939
Evgeny IzumchenkoDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-3500-5664
Aditya JulooriUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-7486-6208
Rohan KatipallyUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-4587-5444
John CursioDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-2131-1767
Noura ChoudhuryDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-5980-4973
Zhen GooiSection of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-4325-6578
Elizabeth BlairUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-0614-1413
Jeffrey ChinDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0009-0000-2658-8525
Rifat HasinaUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-5800-5344
Augustin VannierDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-9467-0480
Anna StarusSysmex-Inostics, Inc., Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0002-6550-2944
Frederick S JonesSysmex-Inostics, Inc., Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0000-0002-6534-8206
Emily L GramiccioniSysmex-Inostics, Inc., Baltimore, Maryland.ORCID 0009-0009-5687-9740
Yuxuan MiaoDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-1534-7993
Daniel J HarafUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0001-5184-1166
Everett E VokesDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-8645-8068
Alexander T PearsonDepartment of Medicine, Section of Hematology and Oncology, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0003-2801-7456
Nishant AgrawalUniversity of Chicago Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chicago, Illinois.ORCID 0000-0002-1361-3231

Funding

VIRAL ONCOLOGY CORE FACILITYP30CA014599 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI KUNLE ODUNSI · 1985 to 2026
$122.1M
Multi-analyte Approach for Earlier Detection of Cancers in Non Plasma BiofluidsU01CA230691 · NCI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Nishant Agrawal, CHETAN BETTEGOWDA · 2018 to 2026
$6.7M
Research Education Program for Residents and Fellows in NeurologyUE5NS065729 · NINDS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CHETAN BETTEGOWDA, Argye E. Hillis · 2025 to 2026
$606k
American Cancer Society (ACS) IRG-19-136-59Center for Cancer Research (CCR) P30 CA14599Grant Achatz and Nick KokonasNational Cancer Institute (NCI) U01CA230691NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014599NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230691NINDS NIH HHS UE5 NS065729U.S. Department of Defense (DOD) HT9425-23-1-0614V Foundation for Cancer Research (VFCR) T2022-012
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeHuman papillomavirus-associated (HPV+) oropharyngeal carcinoma is associated with excellent survival, yet treatment drives substantial toxicity. Improved biomarkers are needed to select patients for de-escalated treatment. Circulating tumor HPV DNA (ctHPV-DNA) represents a promising noninvasive biomarker to gauge treatment response and surveil for disease recurrence. PATIENTS AND

methodsA prospective biomarker clinical trial of response-stratified de-escalation was conducted. Eligible patients with non-metastatic HPV+ oropharyngeal carcinoma received neoadjuvant chemotherapy, followed by risk/response-stratified de-escalation with transoral robotic surgery, de-escalated radiation with or without chemotherapy to 50 Gy, or standard chemoradiation to 70 Gy. Deep response (≥50% tumor shrinkage per RECIST v1.1) qualified patients for de-escalation. ctHPV-DNA was measured using HPV-SEQ in plasma at baseline, during neoadjuvant chemotherapy, radiation, and following treatment. The primary endpoint was the correlation of ctHPV-DNA kinetics and radiographic response.

resultsForty-six eligible patients were enrolled, and 488 ctHPV-DNA samples were analyzed (median 11 per patient). The median follow-up was 30 months, and five recurrences were observed (10.9%). Baseline ctHPV-DNA was detected in 95% of evaluable patients. Rapid early ctHPV-DNA clearance after one cycle of neoadjuvant therapy (≥95% reduction) predicted radiographic deep response (P = 0.04). Detection of ctHPV-DNA 3 months or later after treatment was associated with worse progression-free and overall survival (P < 0.001). Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of longitudinal ctHPV-DNA were 100%. The longest lead time from positive ctHPV-DNA to detection of recurrent disease was 25 months.

conclusionsRapid early clearance of ctHPV-DNA during neoadjuvant therapy demonstrates utility in predicting response to treatment. Detectable ctHPV-DNA following treatment is predictive of both disease recurrence and worse survival.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, ViralOropharyngeal NeoplasmsPapillomavirus InfectionsAdultAgedAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsFemaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoadjuvant TherapyNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPapillomaviridaeBiomarkers, TumorCirculating Tumor DNADNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID40423530
PMCPMC12332768

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.