Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40417559›Full record

ArticleAMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium2024

Derivation and Experimental Performance of Standard and Novel Uncertainty Calibration Techniques.

Katherine E Brown, Steve Talbert, Douglas A Talbert

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Katherine E BrownVanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN.
Steve TalbertUniversity of Central Florida, Orlando, FL.
Douglas A TalbertTennessee Technological University, Cookeville, TN.

Funding

Vanderbilt Biomedical Informatics Training ProgramT15LM007450 · NLM · VANDERBILT UNIVERSITY · PI Jessica S. Ancker, Bradley A. Malin · 2002 to 2026
$19.7M
Making Computerized Trauma Triage Decision Support Accurate and TrustworthyR15LM013824 · NLM · TENNESSEE TECHNOLOGICAL UNIVERSITY · PI TALBERT, DOUGLAS ALAN · 2022 to 2022
$373k
NLM NIH HHS R15 LM013824NLM NIH HHS T15 LM007450
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

To aid in the transparency of state-of-the-art machine learning models, there has been considerable research performed in uncertainty quantification (UQ). UQ aims to quantify what a model does not know by measuring variation of the model under stochastic conditions and has been demonstrated to be a potentially powerful tool for medical AI. Evaluation of UQ, however, is largely constrained to visual analysis. In this work, we expand upon the Rejection Classification Index (RC-Index) and introduce the relative RC-Index as measures of uncertainty based on rejection classification curves. We hypothesize that rejection classification curves can be used as a basis to derive a metric of how well a given arbitrary uncertainty quantification metric can identify potentially incorrect predictions by an ML model. We compare RC-Index and rRC-Index to established measures based on lift curves.

Indexed as

Machine LearningCalibrationUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID40417559
PMCPMC12099399

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.