Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40415615›Full record

ArticleArthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)2025

Identifying Predictive Biomarkers of Response in Patients With Rheumatoid Arthritis Treated With Adalimumab Using Machine Learning Analysis of Whole-Blood Transcriptomics Data.

Chuan Fu Yap, Nisha Nair, Ann W Morgan, John D Isaacs, Anthony G Wilson, Kimme Hyrich, Guillermo Barturen, María Riva-Torrubia, Marta Gut, Ivo Gut and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Chuan Fu YapCentre for Genetics and Genomics Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5256-5642
Nisha NairCentre for Genetics and Genomics Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, The University of Manchester and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Ann W MorganSchool of Medicine University of Leeds and NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Centre, Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, United Kingdom.
John D IsaacsTranslational and Clinical Research Institute, Newcastle University and NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research Centre and Musculoskeletal Unit, Newcastle-upon-Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, United Kingdom.
Anthony G WilsonSchool of Medicine and Medical Science, Conway Institute, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4855-3926
Kimme HyrichNIHR Biomedical Research Centre Manchester and Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, The University of Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Guillermo BarturenGENYO, Centre for Genomics and Oncological Research Pfizer, University of Granada, Andalusian Regional Government, Parque Tecnológico de la Salud (PTS) Granada and Department of Genetics, Faculty of Science, University of Granada and Bioinformatics Laboratory, Biotechnology Institute, Centro de Investigación Biomédica, PTS, Granada, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2103-1028
María Riva-TorrubiaCentre for Genomics and Oncology Research (GENYO), Centre for Genomics and Oncological Research Pfizer, University of Granada, Andalusian Regional Government, PTS Granada, Granada, Spain.
Marta GutCNAG and Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Ivo GutCNAG and Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Marta E Alarcón RiquelmeGENYO, Centre for Genomics and Oncological Research Pfizer, University of Granada, Andalusian Regional Government, PTS Granada, Granada, Spain, and Institute for Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Anne BartonCentre for Genetics and Genomics Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, The University of Manchester and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Darren PlantCentre for Genetics and Genomics Versus Arthritis, Centre for Musculoskeletal Research, The University of Manchester and NIHR Biomedical Research Centre Manchester, Manchester, United Kingdom.

Funding

Manchester Biomedical Research Centre IS-BRC-1215-20015NIHR Newcastle Biomedical Research CentreNIHR Senior Investigator NIHR202395Taxonomy, Treatment, Targets and Remission Identification of the Molecular Mechanisms of Non-response to Treatments, Relapses and Remission in Autoimmune Inflammatory Conditions (3TR) 831434Versus Arthritis 21173Versus Arthritis 21754Versus Arthritis 21755
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTumornecrosis factor inhibitors (TNFi) have significantly improved rheumatoid arthritis (RA) management, yet variability in patient response remains a substantial challenge, with approximately 40% of patients discontinuing TNFi due to nonresponse or adverse effects. This study aimed to identify biomarkers predictive of adalimumab treatment response using whole-blood transcriptomics, leveraging machine learning models for data mining observed by targeted statistical analysis.

methodsA cohort of patients with RA starting TNFi therapy (n = 100) was assessed for treatment response at 6 months, with RNA sequencing performed on baseline (pretreatment) and 3-month follow-up samples. Machine learning classifiers were built to identify predictive biomarkers for treatment outcomes. This was observed by a network analysis on the biomarkers to elucidate the most influential biomarker, which was subsequently confirmed through survival analysis.

resultsDifferential gene expression analysis in 97 samples passing quality control identified 84 genes associated with treatment response. Random forest classifiers achieved high predictive accuracy with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves up to 0.86, identifying genes contributing to treatment outcomes. Network analysis further elucidated gene interactions, highlighting marginal zone B And B1 cell-specific protein 1 (MZB1) as a novel biomarker not captured by machine learning alone. MZB1's role in B cell development and antibody production was associated with antidrug antibody formation, impacting treatment efficacy.

conclusionThis study advances the understanding of transcriptomic alterations in RA treatment and enhances our understanding of treatment response mechanisms. Although the gene signatures identified require independent replication, the study serves as a starting point to pave the way for personalized therapeutic strategies in patients commencing TNFi therapy in RA.

Indexed as

AdalimumabAntirheumatic AgentsArthritis, RheumatoidMachine LearningTranscriptomeAdultAgedBiomarkersFemaleGene Expression ProfilingHumansMaleMiddle AgedTreatment OutcomeAdalimumabAntirheumatic AgentsBiomarkers

Identifiers

PMID40415615
PMCPMC12750119

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.