Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40412401›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2025

Development, launch, and scale-up of health products in low-income and middle-income countries: a retrospective analysis on 59 health products.

Wenhui Mao, Elina Urli Hodges, Armand Zimmerman, Ernesto J Ortiz, Kelly Kilburn, Diana Silimperi, Krishna Udayakumar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. From guesstimates to game changers: Introducing objective measurement of blood loss for timely postpartum hemorrhage detection in Nigeria, Zambia, and Kenya.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  3. Preparing for Tuberculosis Vaccine M72/AS01Infectious diseases and therapy · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Achieving Equitable Access to Obstetric Devices Through Innovation, Improvisation and Off-Label Use.BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Wenhui MaoDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA. Electronic address: wenhui.mao@duke.edu.
Elina Urli HodgesDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Armand ZimmermanDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Ernesto J OrtizDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Kelly KilburnDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Diana SilimperiDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Krishna UdayakumarDuke Global Health Innovation Center, Duke Global Health Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA; Innovations in Healthcare, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLow-income and middle-income countries (LMICs) bear a heavy burden from communicable, maternal, and childhood diseases, yet access to health products addressing these burdens is lagging. We aimed to provide empirical evidence about the timelines, and influencing factors, of the end-to-end scale-up pathway of health products in LMICs.

methodsWe identified products that met our prespecified inclusion criteria. We documented the dates and intervals for five key milestones in the pathway: ideation, proof of concept, regulatory approval, first LMIC country launch, and at least 20% uptake across LMICs. We then explored the association between pace of this pathway and ten characteristics, such as product types, buying environment, and market type. We used robust regression models to test our hypothesis that multiple factors affect a product's pathway to scale-up in LMICs.

findingsAmong 59 included products, the median time to bring a product from ideation to at least 20% uptake in LMICs was 13·5 years (IQR 6·8-41·6). Ideation to proof of concept was the longest interval (median 6·9 years) for most product types, followed by the first country launch to at least 20% uptake in LMICs (median 3·8 years). Infectious disease products tended to need the longest time to launch, whereas maternal and child health products took the longest to scale up. Products with consumer or institutional markets launched and scaled up faster than those with global markets by 6 years and 2 years, respectively (p=0·012 and p<0·0001). Other factors, such as type of developer and buying environment, also had an effect on launch and scale-up timelines.

interpretationStakeholders should make long-term plans to introduce and scale up new products. Better coordination and planning across different stages and among different players could accelerate the process.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

Developing CountriesHumansRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID40412401
PMCPMC12100461

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.