ArticleClinical pharmacokinetics2025
Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic Modelling and Monte Carlo Simulations to Predict Cytomegalovirus Viral Load in Pediatric Transplant Recipients Treated with (val)Ganciclovir.
Article in Clinical pharmacokinetics, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
1 citing paper in PubMed.
- A Matched Case-Control Study to Evaluate Predicted Drug Exposures and Neutropenia during Valganciclovir Prophylaxis in Pediatric Solid Organ Transplant Recipients.Transplant infectious disease : an official journal of the Transplantation SocietyArticle
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND
objectivesCytomegalovirus (CMV) infection poses significant challenges in pediatric transplant recipients. Ganciclovir and its prodrug valganciclovir are primary treatments because of their potent antiviral effects. Balancing efficacy and toxicity is particularly critical in children. This study aimed to develop a pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model for (val)ganciclovir and assess the relationship between area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) and CMV viral loads via Monte Carlo simulations.
methodsWe conducted a retrospective analysis including 184 viral load samples from 36 transplanted children treated with ganciclovir/valganciclovir. We developed a population pharmacodynamic model using Monolix and performed Monte Carlo simulations to assess viral load decline with varying AUCs. Internal validation was performed using goodness-of-fit plots and bootstraps.
resultsWe used a viral turnover model with stimulated degradation to model the pharmacodynamic data. Model validation showed no bias or misspecification. Simulations indicated that maintaining an AUC
conclusionThe pharmacodynamic model accurately predicted observed data. Simulations indicated that maintaining a ganciclovir plasma AUC
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.