Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40410639›Full record

ArticleJournal of neuro-oncology2025

Survival prediction in glioblastoma: 10-year follow-up from the Dutch Neurosurgery Quality Registry.

Jeroen T J M van Dijck, Hilko Ardon, Rutger K Balvers, Eelke M Bos, Lisette Bosscher, H Bart Brouwers, Vincent K Y Ho, Koos Hovinga, Lesley Kwee, Mark Ter Laan and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of neuro-oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Jeroen T J M van DijckDepartment of Neurosurgery, Haaglanden Medical Centre, The Hague, The Netherlands.
Hilko ArdonDepartment of Neurosurgery, Elisabeth-Tweesteden Hospital, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Rutger K BalversDepartment of Neurosurgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Eelke M BosDepartment of Neurosurgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Erasmus University Medical Centre, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Lisette BosscherDepartment of Neurosurgery, Isala, Zwolle, The Netherlands.
H Bart BrouwersDepartment of Neurosurgery, Elisabeth-Tweesteden Hospital, Tilburg, The Netherlands.
Vincent K Y HoDepartment of Research & Development, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation (IKNL), Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Koos HovingaDepartment of Neurosurgery, Maastricht University Medical Centre, Maastricht, The Netherlands.
Lesley KweeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Northwest Clinics, Alkmaar, The Netherlands.
Mark Ter LaanDepartment of Neurosurgery, Radboud University Medical Centre, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.
Rob J A NabuursDepartment of Neurosurgery, Haaglanden Medical Centre, The Hague, The Netherlands.
Pierre A J T RobeDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Sarita van GeestDepartment of Neurosurgery, Martini Hospital, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Olivier van der VeerDepartment of Neurosurgery, Medical Spectrum Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands.
Niels VerburgDepartment of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Michiel WagemakersDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Medical Centre Groningen, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Philip C de Witt HamerDepartment of Neurosurgery, Amsterdam University Medical Centre, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Mar Rodriguez GirondoSection of Medical Statistics, Department of Biomedical Data Sciences, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Rishi D S Nandoe TewarieDepartment of Neurosurgery, Haaglanden Medical Centre, The Hague, The Netherlands. r.nandoe.tewarie@haaglandenmc.nl.
Quality Registry Neuro Surgery glioblastoma working group from the Dutch Society of Neurosurgery

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeGlioblastoma is the most common and treatment-resistant primary malignant brain tumor, with high morbidity and mortality despite standard treatment protocols. This study aims to evaluate survival and prognostic factors, and introduce two pragmatic prognostic models to inform individualized, patient-centered decision-making, using a large Dutch registry.

methodsWe analyzed a prospective cohort of 7621 patients (2012-2022) in 12 Dutch centers via the Dutch Quality Registry Neurosurgery. Univariate analysis of prognostic factors, Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and funnel plots comparing center performance (30-day and 2-year mortality) were conducted. Two prognostic models using multivariate Cox regression were developed.

resultsGlioblastoma incidence was 3.9/100.000 in The Netherlands. Overall, 30-day mortality was 5.1% and 2-year survival 17.8%. Overall median survival was 10.4 months, with 4.6 months after biopsy and 12.9 months post-resection. Poorer survival correlated with older age, higher ASA classification, lower Karnofsky Performance Status, biopsy over resection (HR 0.49, 95% CI 0.47-0.52), and postoperative complications (HR 1.57 95% CI 1.39-1.79). MGMT promotor methylation (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.53-0.63) and adjuvant treatment were linked to lower mortality. Treatment variation and outcomes were within expected ranges; surgical volume did not affect survival. The prognostic models had C-indices of 0.704 (6-month) and 0.721 (2-year).

conclusionSurgical resection and adjuvant therapy improved survival, but prognosis remained poor. Age, premorbid condition, treatment and molecular markers influenced survival. Center variations were within expected range, and higher surgical volume did not improve outcomes. The developed prognostic models could potentially inform clinicians, pending external validation.

Indexed as

Brain NeoplasmsGlioblastomaNeurosurgical ProceduresAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNetherlandsPrognosisProspective StudiesRegistriesSurvival RateGlioblastomaPatient outcomePrognostic modelSurvival

Identifiers

PMID40410639
PMCPMC12263716

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.