Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40408451›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Transfer learning for mortality risk: A case study on the United Kingdom.

Asmik Nalmpatian, Christian Heumann, Levent Alkaya, William Jackson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Asmik NalmpatianDepartment of Statistics, LMU Munich, Munich, Bavaria, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5982-9663
Christian HeumannDepartment of Statistics, LMU Munich, Munich, Bavaria, Germany.
Levent AlkayaIndependent Researcher, Munich, Bavaria, Germany.
William JacksonIndependent Researcher, Munich, Bavaria, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study introduces a transfer learning framework to address data scarcity in mortality risk prediction for the UK, where local mortality data is unavailable. By leveraging a pretrained model built from data across eight countries (excluding the UK) and incorporating synthetic data from the countries most similar to the UK, our approach extends beyond national boundaries. This framework reduces reliance on local datasets while maintaining strong predictive performance. We evaluate the model using the Continuous Mortality Investigation (CMI) dataset and a Drift model to address discrepancies arising from local demographic differences. Our research bridges machine learning and actuarial science, enhancing mortality risk prediction and pricing strategies, particularly in data-poor settings.

Indexed as

Machine LearningMortalityHumansRisk AssessmentUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID40408451
PMCPMC12101700

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.