Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40405499›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2025

The COVID-19 syndemic: a perfect storm for the life expectancy of the most disadvantaged Americans.

Charlotte Probst, Sophie Bright, Yachen Zhu, Carolin Kilian, Charlotte Buckley, Yu Ye, Nina Mulia, William C Kerr, Jürgen Rehm

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Charlotte ProbstInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Toronto, ON, Canada.
Sophie BrightSchool of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Yachen ZhuAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
Carolin KilianInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Toronto, ON, Canada.
Charlotte BuckleySchool of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8430-0347
Yu YeAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
Nina MuliaAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
William C KerrAlcohol Research Group, Public Health Institute, Emeryville, CA, United States.
Jürgen RehmInstitute for Mental Health Policy Research, Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CAMH), Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-5665-0385

Funding

Supplement to a microsimulation of alcohol control interventions to advance health equity and reverse the current decrease in life expectancy in the USR01AA028009 · NIAAA · CENTRE FOR ADDICTION AND MENTAL HEALTH · PI PROBST, CHARLOTTE · 2020 to 2024
$2.4M
NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA028009NIH HHS R01AA028009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo explore the syndemic nature of the COVID-19 pandemic by identifying which subpopulations in the United States (US) suffered the greatest losses in life expectancy (LE) in 2020 and 2021, and to which extent these losses can be attributed to COVID-19 and 'other' causes of death.

methodsWe analysed individual death records for 2018-2021 from the National Vital Statistics System and population counts from the American Community Survey. Life table and continuous change decomposition analyses were used to quantify cause-/.specific contributions to changes in LE over time in population subgroups defined by sex, educational attainment, and race/ethnicity.

resultsFrom 2019 to 2020, educational differences in LE (high minus low education) increased substantially by 5.0 and 2.6 years in Hispanic men and women, respectively, with increases of one to two years among Black and White adults. Nearly all losses in LE among high-education Hispanic and White groups were due to COVID-19, while among low-education White and Black groups, COVID-19 accounted for 40%-47% of the total losses in LE. Changes in LE were much smaller during 2020-2021.

conclusionsCOVID-19 widened preexisting inequalities in LE in the US, both via direct mortality and through syndemic interactions with other diseases and health conditions. The underlying social, political, economic, and environmental factors driving the clustering and interaction of diseases among the most disadvantaged Americans need to be addressed.

Indexed as

COVID-19Life ExpectancySyndemicVulnerable PopulationsAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBlack or African AmericanCause of DeathEducational StatusFemaleHealth Status DisparitiesHispanic or LatinoHumansMaleCOVID-19 mortalityeducational disparitieshealth inequalitieslife expectancyrace and ethnicitysyndemic

Identifiers

PMID40405499
PMCPMC12098261

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.