Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40405088›Full record

ArticleBMC cancer2025

Association of sarcopenia with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in cancer patients: development and validation of a 3-year and 5-year survival prediction model.

Feng Cui, Xiangji Dang, Daiyun Peng, Yuanhua She, Yubin Wang, Ruifeng Yang, Zhiyao Han, Yan Liu, Hanteng Yang

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMC cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Feng Cui *Department of General Surgery, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730030, People's Republic of China.
Xiangji Dang *Department of Pharmaceutical, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80, Lanzhou, 730030, Gansu Province, People's Republic of China.
Daiyun PengDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80, Lanzhou, 730030, Gansu Province, People's Republic of China.
Yuanhua SheDepartment of General Surgery, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730030, People's Republic of China.
Yubin WangLanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80, Lanzhou, 730030, Gansu Province, People's Republic of China.
Ruifeng YangSchool of Second Clinical Medical, Lanzhou University, Donggang West Road No. 199, Lanzhou, 730030, Gansu Province, People's Republic of China.
Zhiyao HanSchool of Second Clinical Medical, Lanzhou University, Donggang West Road No. 199, Lanzhou, 730030, Gansu Province, People's Republic of China.
Yan LiuGansu High Throughput Screening and Creation Center for Health Products, School of Pharmacy, Lanzhou University, Donggang West Road No. 199, Lanzhou, 730020, People's Republic of China. liuyanly@lzu.edu.cn.
Hanteng YangDepartment of General Surgery, Lanzhou University Second Hospital, Cui Ying Men No.80Gansu Province, Lanzhou, 730030, People's Republic of China. yanghanteng@126.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSarcopenia is a clinicopathological condition characterized by a decrease in muscle strength and muscle mass, playing a crucial role in the prognosis of cancer. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the association between sarcopenia and both all-cause mortality and cancer-specific mortality among cancer patients. Furthermore, we plan to develop risk prediction models using machine learning algorithms to predict 3-year and 5-year survival rates in cancer patients.

methodThis study included 1095 cancer patients from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cohorts spanning 1999-2006 and 2011-2014. Initially, we used the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO)-Cox regression models for feature selection. Subsequently, we employed multivariable Cox regression models to investigate the association between sarcopenia and all-cause and cancer-specific mortality in cancer patients. We developed five machine learning algorithms, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), LightGBM, and XGBoost, to predict 3-year and 5-year survival rates and to perform risk stratification.

resultsThe multivariable COX regression model showed sarcopenia significantly increases the risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.33, 95%CI:1.05, 1.70, P = 0.0194) and cancer-specific mortality (HR = 1.67, 95%CI:1.09, 2.55, P = 0.0176) in cancer patients. Among the five machine learning algorithms developed, the LightGBM model demonstrated strong performance in the 3-year and 5-year survival prediction tasks, making it the optimal model selection. Decision curve analysis and Kaplan-Meier curves further confirmed our model's ability to identify high-risk individuals effectively.

conclusionsSarcopenia significantly increases the risk of mortality in cancer patients. We developed a survival prediction model for cancer patients that effectively identifies high-risk individuals, thereby providing a foundation for personalized survival assessment.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsSarcopeniaAdultAgedCause of DeathFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurvival RateCancerMachine LearningMortalityRisk assessmentSarcopenia

Identifiers

PMID40405088
PMCPMC12100792

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.