Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40404316›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2025

1-year survival in critically ill elderly medical patients treated with a conservative or an invasive approach (OCTO-REVERSE study): a nationwide observational study.

Clement Leclaire, Alexandre Georges, Matthieu de Stampa, Philippe Aegerter

Abstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Clement LeclaireParis Public Hospital at Home (HAD AP-HP), Greater Paris University Hospitals, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Paris, France clement.leclaire@aphp.fr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9162-2574
Alexandre GeorgesParis Public Hospital at Home (HAD AP-HP), Greater Paris University Hospitals, Assistance Publique-Hopitaux de Paris, Paris, France.
Matthieu de StampaInserm U1018, Center for Research in Epidemiology and Population Health (CESP), University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), CESP, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7238-5913
Philippe AegerterInserm U1018, Center for Research in Epidemiology and Population Health (CESP), University of Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), CESP, Villejuif, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9156-5028

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine whether an invasive approach is associated with favourable long-term outcomes among elderly medical patients in the intensive care unit (ICU), compared with a conservative approach.

designNationwide observational study (OCTO-REVERSE study) using data prospectively collected in the National French Healthcare Database (covering 99% of the population, 66 million people).

settingComprehensive multicentre study through the linkage of large-scale national registries (including all public or private facilities) from 2013 to 2018 to avoid ambiguities related to the COVID-19 pandemic.

participantsAll non-surgical patients aged 80 years or older admitted to an ICU in France during the period (n=107 014 patients at 822 hospitals). OUTCOME MEASURES: The main outcome was the 1-year survival rate. The association of the two approaches with 1-year survival was estimated using a time-dependent Cox model and a propensity score (PS) adapted to time-to-event analysis, yielding the average treatment effect in the treated and extended weighted Kaplan-Meier curves.

results107 014 patients were categorised into two groups based on the type of care received: invasive (n=51 680 (48%) received invasive ventilation and/or vasopressor support) or conservative (n=55 334 (52%) received neither). 1-year survival rate was significantly lower in the invasive group than in the conservative group (27% vs 59% estimated with extended time-dependent Kaplan-Meier method). The risk of death in the invasive group remained significantly higher after time-dependent PS weighting (HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.60 to 1.69; p<0.001). The loss in restricted mean survival time was 67.7 days (95% CI 65.7 to 69.8) in this group and 31% of deaths occurred the day of initiation of the procedure, or the following day.

conclusionAmong the whole population of critically ill elderly medical patients in France, the invasive approach was unknowingly associated with end-of-life care in nearly three quarters of cases. Further research is needed to align intensive care with compassionate goals.

Indexed as

Conservative TreatmentCOVID-19Critical IllnessRespiration, ArtificialAged, 80 and overFemaleFranceHumansIntensive Care UnitsMalePropensity ScoreRegistriesSARS-CoV-2Survival RateCaregiversHealth Services for the AgedINTENSIVE & CRITICAL CAREPALLIATIVE CAREPerson-Centered CareTriage

Identifiers

PMID40404316
PMCPMC12096995

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.