Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40399541›Full record

ArticleDiscover oncology2025

Dynamic conditional survival nomogram for primary hepatocellular carcinoma: a population-based analysis.

Junling Zhao, Jing Gao, Wei Liu, Jianye Sun

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Discover oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Junling Zhao *Department of Oncology, Changle People's Hospital Affiliated to Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, China.
Jing Gao *Department of Oncology, Changle People's Hospital Affiliated to Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, China.
Wei LiuDepartment of Oncology, Changle People's Hospital Affiliated to Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, China.
Jianye SunDepartment of Oncology, Changle People's Hospital Affiliated to Shandong Second Medical University, Weifang, China. cat-4321@163.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0008-0265-037X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide. While 5-year overall survival (OS) is a common prognostic metric, it does not reflect the evolving prognosis of long-term survivors. The study aimed to evaluate dynamic changes in real-time survival among HCC patients over time using conditional survival (CS) analysis and to develop an individualized, time-updated prognostic model.

methodsA total of 11,926 patients with primary HCC were included and randomly assigned to training (70%) and validation (30%) cohorts. CS was defined as the probability of surviving additional years given time already survived [CS(t

resultsCS analysis showed that real-time survival rate increased significantly with each additional year survived, with 5-year CS rising from 35.1% at diagnosis to 52.9%, 66.7%, 79.2%, and 90.2% after 1-4 years of survival. Eleven prognostic factors were included in the final model (all p < 0.05). The CS-nomogram demonstrated strong discrimination (5-year AUC > 0.84 in both cohorts) and good calibration. An interactive web-based tool was developed to facilitate clinical application.

conclusionCS analysis offers more accurate and dynamic prognostic information for HCC patients. The CS-nomogram provides personalized, time-adjusted survival estimates, supporting more informed decision-making and survivorship care.

Indexed as

Conditional survivalHepatocellular carcinomaNomogramSEER

Identifiers

PMID40399541
PMCPMC12095709

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.