Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40395411›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal. Digital health2025

A hybrid algorithm-based ECG risk prediction model for cardiovascular disease.

Pan Zhou, Zhao Yang, Yiming Hao, Fangfang Fan, Wenlang Zhao, Ziyu Wang, Qiuju Deng, Yongchen Hao, Na Yang, Lizhen Han and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal. Digital health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Pan ZhouCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Zhao YangCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yiming HaoCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Fangfang FanInstitute of Cardiovascular Disease, Peking University First Hospital, No.8 Xishiku Road, Xicheng District, Beijing 100034, China.
Wenlang ZhaoCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Ziyu WangCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Qiuju DengCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yongchen HaoCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Na YangCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9022-171X
Lizhen HanCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Pingping JiaCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yue QiCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Yan ZhangInstitute of Cardiovascular Disease, Peking University First Hospital, No.8 Xishiku Road, Xicheng District, Beijing 100034, China.
Jing LiuCenter for Clinical and Epidemiologic Research, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3311-0818

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Aims: Little is known about the role of electrocardiography (ECG) in the community population independent of physical and laboratory examinations. Thus, this study developed and validated several ECG-based models for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk assessment, with or without simple questionnaire-based variables. Methods and results: Using a derivation cohort of 3734 Chinese participants aged ≥40 years, we developed the ECG-based models to predict the risk of developing CVD (comprising fatal and non-fatal coronary heart disease, unstable angina, stroke, and heart failure). Candidate predictors associated with CVD were screened from hundreds of ECG characteristics using a hybrid algorithm. By incorporating the questionnaire-based predictors, we constructed the ECG-questionnaire model. All models were tested in an external validation cohort ( Conclusion: The ECG model with/without questionnaire-based variables can accurately predict future CVD risk independent of physical and laboratory examinations, suggesting its great potential in routine clinical practice.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular diseaseElectrocardiographyPredictive valueRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID40395411
PMCPMC12088724

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.