Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40389579›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Migration extent and potential economic impact of the fall armyworm in Europe.

Stelios Kartakis, Kiran J Horrocks, Kutay Cingiz, Darren J Kriticos, Justus Wesseler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Tracking phases of the fall armyworm (Biological invasions · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Stelios KartakisAgricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands. stelios.kartakis@wur.nl.
Kiran J HorrocksBiosafety Research Group, Agroscope, Zürich, Switzerland.
Kutay CingizAgricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
Darren J KriticosCervantes Agritech Pty Limited, Canberra, ACT, Australia.
Justus WesselerAgricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University, Wageningen, The Netherlands.

Funding

Horizon 2020 Framework Programme 101060634
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The fall armyworm (FAW), Spodoptera frugiperda (J.E. Smith, 1979), is a major agricultural pest native to the Americas that feeds on several crops, particularly maize. Since 2016, FAW has invaded more than 50 African countries, much of Southeast Asia, and Oceania, severely impacting agriculture and posing a threat to global food security. Following its recent detections in Europe in 2023, this study investigates FAW's migratory capacity and potential direct economic impact on European grain maize production under a "no-control" scenario-areas previously unexplored in the context of Europe. We explored FAW's potential distribution across the European continent by incorporating updated climatic data, refined parameter values, and an expanded occurrence dataset into a revised CLIMEX niche model. Our results reveal sizable potential economic impacts with the southern European Member States facing up to €546 ha

Indexed as

Animal MigrationSpodopteraAgricultureAnimalsCrops, AgriculturalEuropeIntroduced SpeciesZea maysCLIMEXInvasive speciesPartial budgetingPest invasionSpodoptera frugiperda

Identifiers

PMID40389579
PMCPMC12089574

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.