Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40387359›Full record

SynthesisCancer reports (Hoboken, N.J.)2025

Meta-Analysis of Recurrence-Free Survival or Disease-Free Survival as a Potential Surrogate Endpoint for Overall Survival in Esophageal Cancer Trials.

Uchechukwu Love Anyaduba, Oluwatosin Qawiyy Orababa, Zion Faye, Nazia Rashid, Jason Shafrin, Gregory Reardon

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Cancer reports (Hoboken, N.J.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Uchechukwu Love AnyadubaHenry E. Riggs School of Applied Life Sciences, Keck Graduate Institute, Claremont, California, USA.ORCID 0009-0009-6959-4197
Oluwatosin Qawiyy OrababaSchool of Life Sciences, Gibbet Hill Campus, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Zion FayeHenry E. Riggs School of Applied Life Sciences, Keck Graduate Institute, Claremont, California, USA.
Nazia RashidSchool of Pharmacy, Keck Graduate Institute, Claremont, California, USA.
Jason ShafrinCenter for Healthcare Economics and Policy, FTI Consulting, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Gregory ReardonSchool of Pharmacy, Keck Graduate Institute, Claremont, California, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCancer trials increasingly use surrogate endpoints, but it is unclear how well recurrence-free survival (RFS) or disease-free survival (DFS) specifically predict overall survival (OS) in resectable esophageal cancer (EC).

methodsA systematic literature review identified trials with RFS/DFS and OS endpoints. A meta-analysis assessed RFS/DFS as surrogates for OS, estimating pooled hazard ratios (HRs) from trial HRs. Forest plots and heterogeneity tests showed effect sizes and pooled estimates. Unweighted linear regression and weighted sensitivity analysis estimated the correlation between OS and RFS/DFS, producing a regression plot.

resultsOf 975 articles identified, 11 met the criteria. The pooled HR for OS and RFS/DFS was 0.90 and 0.87, respectively. The primary analysis showed a strong Pearson correlation between RFS/DFS and OS (ρ = 0.89, p < 0.001).

conclusionSubject to known methodological limits, RFS/DFS was demonstrated to be a potentially suitable surrogate endpoint for OS in resectable EC.

Indexed as

Esophageal NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalClinical Trials as TopicDisease-Free SurvivalEndpoint DeterminationHumansPrognosisdisease‐free survivalesophageal canceresophageal neoplasmslocalneoplasm recurrencerandomized controlled trialrecurrencesurrogate endpoint

Identifiers

PMID40387359
PMCPMC12087002

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.