Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40385399›Full record

ArticlemedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences2025

Generalizable AI predicts immunotherapy outcomes across cancers and treatments.

Wanxiang Shen, Thinh H Nguyen, Michelle M Li, Yepeng Huang, Intae Moon, Nitya Nair, Daniel Marbach, Marinka Zitnik

Abstract readPreprint
In one paragraph

Article in medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Wanxiang ShenDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7114-3664
Thinh H NguyenDivision of Immunology, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Michelle M LiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0223-7485
Yepeng HuangDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
Intae MoonDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0978-9605
Nitya NairRoche Pharma Research and Early Development, Oncology Early Clinical Development, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.
Daniel MarbachRoche Pharma Research and Early Development, Data & Analytics, Roche Innovation Center Basel, F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6686-9249
Marinka ZitnikDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8530-7228

Funding

MOLECULAR BASIS OF ALLERGIC AND IMMUNOLOGIC DISEASET32AI007512 · NIAID · CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL BOSTON · PI Janet Chou, Peter A Nigrovic · 1996 to 2026
$13.1M
Measuring Neonatal RegionalizationR01HD108794 · NICHD · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Jochen Profit, JEANNETTE A ROGOWSKI · 2023 to 2026
$2.8M
NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007512NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD108794
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Immune checkpoint inhibitors have become standard care across many cancers, but most patients do not respond. Predicting response remains challenging due to complex tumor-immune interactions and the poor generalizability of current biomarkers and models. Predictors such as tumor mutational burden, PD-L1 expression, and transcriptomic signatures often fail across cancer types, therapies, and clinical settings. There is a clear need for a robust, interpretable model that captures shared immune response principles and adapts to diverse clinical contexts. We present Compass, a foundation model for predicting immunotherapy response from pan-cancer transcriptomic data using a concept bottleneck architecture. Compass encodes tumor gene expression through 44 biologically grounded immune concepts representing immune cell states, tumor-microenvironment interactions, and signaling pathways. Trained on 10,184 tumors across 33 cancer types, Compass outperforms 22 baseline methods in 16 independent clinical cohorts spanning seven cancers and six immune checkpoint inhibitors, increasing precision by 8.5%, Matthews correlation coefficient by 12.3%, and area under the precision-recall curve by 15.7%, with minimal or no additional training. The model generalizes to unseen cancer types and treatments, supporting indication selection and patient stratification in early-phase clinical trials. Survival analysis shows that Compass-stratified responders have significantly longer overall survival (hazard ratio = 4.7,

Identifiers

PMID40385399
PMCPMC12083594

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.