Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40385270›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diagnosis and therapy2025

Development of peripheral biomarker-based prognostic nomograms for short-term and long-term survival in immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated myocarditis.

Zhengkun Guan, Tiezhu Yao, Guang Liu, Jing Liu, Ling Guo, Shaoyan Du, Zhenli Li, Ruipu Gao, Yansong Wang, Jingtao Ma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diagnosis and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Zhengkun GuanDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Tiezhu YaoDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Guang LiuDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Jing LiuDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Ling GuoDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Shaoyan DuDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Zhenli LiDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Ruipu GaoDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Yansong WangDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.
Jingtao MaDepartment of Cardiology, The Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Immune checkpoint inhibitor-associated myocarditis (ICI myocarditis) is a rare but highly fatal immune-related adverse reaction. This study aimed to develop nomogram prognostic models for both short-term and long-term survival outcomes in patients with ICI myocarditis based on key biomarkers in peripheral blood. Methods: In this single-center retrospective study, we included 90 patients with ICI myocarditis at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University. Critical peripheral biomarkers associated with 40-day and 1-year overall survival (OS) were identified. Two prognostic models were developed and evaluation of the models were performed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, C-index, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: A total of 24 patients (26.7%) succumbed within 40 days, while 40 patients (44.4%) died within one year. Cardiac troponin-I (cTnI), N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NTBNP) and lactic dehydrogenase-to-albumin ratio (LAR) were identified as critical prognostic factors for 40-day OS in patients with ICI myocarditis and utilized to develop a nomogram model. The model demonstrates an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.867 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.774-0.960] and a C-index of 0.824. Another predictive model for the 1-year OS was developed based on cTnI, NTBNP, LAR and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) with an AUC of 0.765 (95% CI: 0.664-0.866) and a C index of 0.742. The calibration curve demonstrates that both models exhibit strong consistency. The results of the DCA further indicate that both nomograms possess substantial clinical utility. Conclusions: These two prediction models will enable clinicians to more effectively utilize readily available peripheral blood biomarkers for the convenient and efficient identification of high-risk patients with poor prognoses, thereby facilitating early intervention.

Indexed as

biomarkersImmune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI)myocarditisnomogramprognosis

Identifiers

PMID40385270
PMCPMC12082187

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.