Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40382603›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Disease burden of aortic aneurysm from 1990 to 2021 with a forecast to 2045: insights from the global burden of disease 2021.

Cuihong Tian, Xuan Zhang, Haoxian Tang, Nan Luo, Jingtao Huang, Hanyuan Lin, Qinglong Yang, Yequn Chen, Xuerui Tan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Cuihong Tian *Department of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Xuan Zhang *Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Haoxian TangDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Nan LuoShantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Jingtao HuangShantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Hanyuan LinShantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Qinglong YangShantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China.
Yequn ChenDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China. gdcycyq@163.com.
Xuerui TanDepartment of Cardiology, First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, 515041, China. doctortxr@126.com.

Funding

Funding for Guangdong Medical Leading Talent, the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, China 2019-2022Overseas Exchange and Cooperation program for graduate students at Shantou University Medical College, China 002-18124704Special Fund from the Central Government for Guiding Local Scientific and Technological Development in 2024 STKJ2024068
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAortic aneurysm is one of the causes of cardiovascular disease-related death, posing a significant challenge to global healthcare. Understanding the burden of aortic aneurysm is crucial for formulating effective public health intervention policies and allocating resources. The study aims to assess the global, regional, and national burden, trend, and inequalities of aortic aneurysm.

methodsAortic aneurysm-associated mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), age-standardized disability-adjusted life-years (ASDR), and their average annual percentage change (AAPC) were estimated based on a population-based study, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021. The global, regional, and national burden of aortic aneurysm was analyzed across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021, stratified by sex, sociodemographic index (SDI), and further predicted to 2045.

resultsThe ASMR decreased from 2.54 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 1.86 per 100,000 population in 2021, with an AAPC of -0.99%. The ASDR declined from 48.79 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 36.54 per 100,000 population in 2021, with an AAPC of -0.90%. The most significant decline in ASDR was observed among males (-1.14% vs. -0.68% per year). ASMR increased considerably, especially in countries with a low-middle SDI (1.29% per year), while it dropped particularly in countries with a high SDI (-1.65% per year). Notably, though the number of mortality and DALYs was predicted to continue rising, the ASMR and ASDR for aortic aneurysm were projected to decrease annually from, with predicted values of 1.92 per 100,000 population and 40.38 per 100,000 population in 2045, respectively.

conclusionsThe global relative burden of individuals with aortic aneurysm decreased since 1990, along with a prominent decrease in related ASMR and ASDR. Aortic aneurysm-related mortality and DALYs were higher in males and those living in regions with a high SDI.

Indexed as

Aortic AneurysmGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansMaleMiddle AgedSocial Determinants of HealthAortic aneurysmAverage annual percentage changeDisability-adjusted life-yearsMortalitySociodemographic index

Identifiers

PMID40382603
PMCPMC12085002

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.