Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40379782›Full record

ArticleCommunications medicine2025

Utilizing Google Trends data to enhance forecasts and monitor long COVID prevalence.

Amanda M Y Chu, Jenny T Y Tsang, Sophia S C Chan, Lupe S H Chan, Mike K P So

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Amanda M Y ChuDepartment of Social Sciences and Policy Studies, The Education University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Jenny T Y TsangSchool of Nursing, Tung Wah College, Hong Kong, China.
Sophia S C ChanSchool of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Lupe S H ChanDepartment of Information Systems, Business Statistics and Operations Management, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0764-7523
Mike K P SoDepartment of Information Systems, Business Statistics and Operations Management, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China. immkpso@ust.hk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0781-8166

Funding

Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (HKUST) SBMDF21BM07
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong COVID, the persistent illness following COVID-19 infection, has emerged as a major public health concern since the outbreak of the pandemic. Effective disease surveillance is crucial for policymaking and resource allocation.

methodsWe investigated the potential of utilizing Google Trends data to enhance long COVID symptoms surveillance. Though Google Trends provides freely available search popularity data, limitations in data normalization and retrieval restrictions have hindered its predictive capabilities. In our study, we carefully selected 33 search terms and 20 related topics from the long COVID symptoms list provided by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the database "scite", and calculated their merged search volumes from Google Trends data using our developed statistical method for analysis.

resultsWe identify four related topics (ageusia, anosmia, chest pain, and headaches) that consistently exhibit increased search popularity before that of "long COVID." Additionally, nine related topics (aching muscle pain, anxiety, chest pain, clouding of consciousness, dizziness, fatigue, myalgia, shortness of breath, and hypochondriasis) show increased search popularity following that of "long COVID." We demonstrate that the merged search volume (MSV), derived from the relative search volume data downloaded from Google, can be used to forecast the prevalence of long COVID in a prediction study, supporting the use of the methodology in risk management regarding the prevalence of long COVID.

conclusionsBy utilizing a comprehensive list of search terms and sophisticated statistical analytics, our study contributes to exploring the potential of Google Trends data for forecasting and monitoring long COVID prevalence. These findings and methodologies can be used as prior knowledge to inform future infodemiological and epidemiological investigations.

Identifiers

PMID40379782
PMCPMC12084604

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.