ArticleNature communications2025
Critical mineral constraints pressure energy transition and trade toward the Paris Agreement climate goals.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed.
- Global, Interdisciplinary Research to Guide a Secure and Sustainable Expansion of Mineral Supply Chains.Environmental science & technology letters · 2026Review
- Strategic timing for the decarbonization contributions by China's photovoltaic manufacturers in global energy transition.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Warming-driven shifts in global building energy use reshape climate mitigation planning.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Toward greenhouse gas neutrality: China's post-2030 transition pathway and policy.Environmental science and ecotechnology · 2026Article
- Forecasting the Price of Gold with Integrated Media Sentiment-A Prediction Framework Based on Online News Sentiment Mining with CNN-QRLSTM.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Article
- Critical mineral bottlenecks constrain sub-technology choices in low-carbon energy deployment.iScience · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The clean energy transition centered on photovoltaic solar and wind power is widely regarded as the fundamental way to achieve the Paris Agreement's pledges. The development of clean energies, however, relies much more on critical minerals than that of conventional ones. It is therefore vital to incorporate mineral constraints into integrated assessment modeling and designing of energy transition pathways. To this end, we reexamine the feasibility of China's energy transition evaluated by 5 typical integrated assessment models, then reconfigure the pathways and assess possible trade and warming risks by designing primary mineral supply, recovery and technological progress scenarios. The results indicate that the contribution of solar and wind power to achieve the Paris Agreement goals may far below our expectation due to critical mineral constraints, and the installed capacity of the targeted two renewables will averagely decline by over 56.7% and 68.9%, respectively, by 2060 under the 1.5 °C warming limit. This may lead to an emission gap of carbon reduction by up to 2.35 GtCO
Identifiers
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Registered trials
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