Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40361124›Full record

ArticleRespiratory research2025

Development and validation of an early diagnosis model for severe mycoplasma pneumonia in children based on interpretable machine learning.

Si Xie, Mo Wu, Yu Shang, Wenbin Tuo, Jun Wang, Qinzhen Cai, Chunhui Yuan, Cong Yao, Yun Xiang

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Respiratory research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Machine learning-based prediction models for severeFrontiers in public health · 2026
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Mapping the Evolution of Diagnostic Research onPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Host immune dysfunction and Mycoplasma pneumoniae immune evasion: dual drivers of pathogenesis in Mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2026
    Review
  9. Frontiers in pediatrics · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Development of a Prediction Model for Severe PediatricInfection and drug resistance · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Early prediction of plastic bronchitis in pediatric patients withFrontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Si Xie *Department of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Mo Wu *Department of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Yu Shang *Department of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Wenbin TuoDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Jun WangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Qinzhen CaiDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China.
Chunhui YuanDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China. chunhuii.yuen@whu.edu.cn.
Cong YaoHealth Care Department, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China. yaocong@zgwhfe.com.
Yun XiangDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, Wuhan Children's Hospital (Wuhan Maternal and Child Healthcare Hospital), Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, 430016, China. xiangyun5272008@163.com.

Funding

Department of Science and Technology, Hubei Provincial People's Government WZ22Q08Global Health Institute, Wuhan University WX21M03Wuhan Science and Technology Project WX21Q50
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumonia is a major threat to the health of children, especially those under the age of five. Mycoplasma  pneumoniae infection is a core cause of pediatric pneumonia, and the incidence of severe mycoplasma pneumoniae pneumonia (SMPP) has increased in recent years. Therefore, there is an urgent need to establish an early warning model for SMPP to improve the prognosis of pediatric pneumonia.

methodsThe study comprised 597 SMPP patients aged between 1 month and 18 years. Clinical data were selected through Lasso regression analysis, followed by the application of eight machine learning algorithms to develop early warning model. The accuracy of the model was assessed using validation and prospective cohort. To facilitate clinical assessment, the study simplified the indicators and constructed visualized simplified model. The clinical applicability of the model was evaluated by DCA and CIC curve.

resultsAfter variable selection, eight machine learning models were developed using age, sex and 21 serum indicators identified as predictive factors for SMPP. A Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM) model demonstrated strong performance, achieving AUC of 0.92 for prospective validation. The SHAP analysis was utilized to screen advantageous variables, which contains of serum S100A8/A9, tracheal computed tomography (CT), retinol-binding protein(RBP), platelet larger cell ratio(P-LCR) and CD4+CD25+Treg cell counts, for constructing a simplified model (SCRPT) to improve clinical applicability. The SCRPT diagnostic model exhibited favorable diagnostic efficacy (AUC > 0.8). Additionally, the study found that S100A8/A9 outperformed clinical inflammatory markers can also differentiate the severity of MPP.

conclusionsThe SCRPT model consisting of five dominant variables (S100A8/A9, CT, RBP, PLCR and Treg cell) screened based on eight machine learning is expected to be a tool for early diagnosis of SMPP. S100A8/A9 can also be used as a biomarker for validity differentiation of SMPP when medical conditions are limited.

Indexed as

Early DiagnosisMachine LearningMycoplasma pneumoniaePneumonia, MycoplasmaSeverity of Illness IndexAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleProspective StudiesChildrenEarly diagnosisMachine learningMycoplasma pneumoniae pneumoniaRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID40361124
PMCPMC12070602

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.