Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40359255›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2025

Phenotypic expression of rare progressive cardiac conduction disease variants in the general population.

Ravi A Shah, Julia Ramírez, Claire Kirkby, Charlotte Ives, Martin Lowe, Patricia B Munroe, Pier D Lambiase, William J Young

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Ravi A ShahInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, Rayne Building, University Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3212-7706
Julia RamírezCentre for Clinical Pharmacology and Precision Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4130-5866
Claire KirkbyBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, W Smithfield, London EC1A 7BE, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0283-6376
Charlotte IvesBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, W Smithfield, London EC1A 7BE, UK.
Martin LoweBarts Heart Centre, St Bartholomew's Hospital, W Smithfield, London EC1A 7BE, UK.
Patricia B MunroeCentre for Clinical Pharmacology and Precision Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4176-2947
Pier D LambiaseInstitute of Cardiovascular Science, University College London, Rayne Building, University Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9055-9267
William J YoungCentre for Clinical Pharmacology and Precision Medicine, Queen Mary University of London, Charterhouse Square, London EC1M 6BQ, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9831-6817

Funding

Barts Health NHS TrustBritish Heart FoundationEuropean Union "NextGenerationEU/PRTR" MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033Medical Research Council MR/N025083/1Medical Research Council RYC2021-031413-INational Institute for Health and Care ResearchNIHR Barts Biomedical Research Centre NIHR203330NIHR Integrated Academic Training programmeQueen Mary University of LondonSt George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustSt. George's, University of Londonthe Stephen Lyness Memorial FundUniversity College LondonUniversity College London Hospitals & Barts Biomedicine NIHR
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsFamilial progressive cardiac conduction disease (PCCD) is a heritable condition leading to conduction defects that may require pacemaker implantation. The penetrance of rare PCCD variants in general populations and relationship with electrocardiogram (ECG) trait polygenic risk scores (PRS) is unknown. We investigated the prevalence and phenotypic expression of rare variants linked with PCCD in a population cohort and to establish whether ECG-trait PRSs improve risk prediction. METHODS AND

resultsCarriers of known rare pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) PCCD variants, and variants of uncertain significance (VUS) were identified in 469 511 UK Biobank participants. Primary (any conduction disease) and secondary (high-grade AV block and pacemaker implantation) outcomes were evaluated in lifetime-risk Cox proportional hazard models including rare variant status, sex, and age. Additional models including PR and QRS PRSs were tested. There were 25 P/LP carriers (5 genes) and 3174 VUS carriers (4 genes). Conduction disease was more prevalent in P/LP individuals compared with non-carriers (28% vs. 5.3%, P < 0.001) with a hazard ratio (HR) of 6.60 (95% CI = 3.14-13.8) over 6.5 million person-years of follow-up and C-index 0.602 (0.599-0.605). This was driven by AV block (HR 23.2 [8.7-61.8]) and pacemaker implantation (HR 13.4 [6.01-29.8]). All individuals were aged >50 at diagnosis. Combined with P/LP status, PR-PRS and QRS-PRS improved model performance (C-index 0.618 [0.615-0.622]).

conclusionIn a population-based cohort, PCCD P/LP variant carriers were at greater risk of conduction disease. Including PRSs for the PR and QRS improved risk prediction, supporting the combination of rare and common variants in risk assessment.

Indexed as

Atrioventricular BlockCardiac Conduction System DiseaseAction PotentialsAdultAgedDisease ProgressionElectrocardiographyFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultifactorial InheritancePacemaker, ArtificialPenetrancePhenotypeAtrioventricular blockGenetic risk scoreInherited cardiovascular diseasePenetranceUK Biobank

Identifiers

PMID40359255
PMCPMC12202031

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.