SynthesisNeurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology2025
Predictive factors for the progression of multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis.
Synthesis in Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Role of vitamin D as adjuvant therapy on multiple sclerosis: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.European journal of medical research · 2025Pooled it
- Combined cognitive rehabilitation and neurofeedback therapy: effects on executive function and cognitive flexibility in people with multiple sclerosis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026Trial
- Integration of retinal layer thinning into NEDA-3 predicts disability progression in multiple sclerosis.Journal of neurology · 2026Observational
- Disability progression in multiple sclerosis: a latent class analysis of predictors.Journal of neurology · 2026Article
- Refining Prognostic Factors in Adult-Onset Multiple Sclerosis: A Narrative Review of Current Insights.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
introductionThis meta-analysis systematically explored predictive factors for the progression of multiple sclerosis (MS).
methodsComputerized searches were conducted in Pubmed, OVID, Web of science, Willey Library, and EMbase from inception to August 2023. Patients with MS were divided into the deterioration group, defined as those with an increase in the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of ≥ 1.0 for a baseline EDSS ≤ 5.5 or ≥ 0.5 for a baseline EDSS > 5.5 during the follow-up period, and the non-deterioration group, comprising patients who exhibited no significant changes in EDSS over the same period. This study analyzed the impact of specific predictors, including age at onset, sex (male), smoking status, disease duration, number of relapses, EDSS score, prodromal neurological symptoms, and the use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) on MS progression.
resultsOf 3647 retrieved, 14 studies were finally included. Meta-analysis showed that sex (male) [odds ratio (OR) = 1.15, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.05-1.26, P < 0.01], smoking [OR = 1.92, 95%CI: 1.41-2.60, P < 0.01], relapses frequency [OR = 1.05, 95%CI: 1.02-1.08, P < 0.01], EDSS score [OR = 1.54, 95%CI: 1.10-2.15, P = 0.01], and DMTs use [OR = 0.38, 95%CI: 0.26-0.55, P < 0.01] significant influenced MS progression, while age at onset, disease duration, and prodromal neurological symptoms were not significant.
conclusionSex (male), smoking, a higher number of relapses, EDSS score, and DMTs are predictors of MS deterioration. Hence, particular attention should be given to these risk factors when assessing MS deterioration.
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Registered trials
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