Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40357666›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2025

County Incarceration Rate and Stroke Death: A Cross-Sectional Study of the Influence of Physical Environment, Health Care Access, and Community Mental Distress.

Anders Larrabee Sonderlund, Emily A Wang, Natasha J Williams, Carol R Horowitz, Antoinette Schoenthaler, Louisa W Holaday

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Anders Larrabee SonderlundCenter for Healthful Behavior Change Institute for Excellence in Health Equity, NYU Grossman School of Medicine New York NY USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6627-3322
Emily A WangSEICHE Center for Health and Justice Yale School of Medicine, Yale University New Haven CT USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1403-6891
Natasha J WilliamsCenter for Healthful Behavior Change, Department of Population Health Institute for Excellence in Health Equity, NYU Grossman School of Medicine New York NY USA.
Carol R HorowitzInstitute for Health Equity Research, Icahn School of Medicine, Mount Sinai New York NY USA.
Antoinette SchoenthalerCenter for Healthful Behavior Change Institute for Excellence in Health Equity, NYU Grossman School of Medicine New York NY USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4905-5136
Louisa W HoladayInstitute for Health Equity Research, Icahn School of Medicine, Mount Sinai New York NY USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9894-6501

Funding

Residing in the Community with Dementia at the End of Life: Understanding Hospice Use and Residential SettingP30AG028741 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI ALBERT L SIU · 2010 to 2026
$21.9M
JUSTice-Involved Individuals Cardiovascular Disease Epidemiology (JUSTICE)R01HL137696 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WANG, EMILY AI-HUA · 2018 to 2022
$4.2M
The Lifespan/Brown Criminal Justice Research Program on Substance Use and HIVR25DA037190 · NIDA · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI CURT G BECKWITH · 2014 to 2026
$3.5M
Advancing Health Disparities Research in Aging: The Aging Research in Criminal Justice & Health (ARCH) NetworkR24AG065175 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LISA C BARRY, BRIE A WILLIAMS · 2019 to 2026
$3.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL137696NIA NIH HHS P30 AG028741NIA NIH HHS R24 AG065175NIDA NIH HHS R25 DA037190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFew studies assess the association between county-level incarceration rates and stroke death, and none test mechanisms. We examine the link between county imprisonment rates and stroke death, testing pathways and identifying racial disparities.

methodsIn a cross-sectional design, we regressed stroke death onto imprisonment rates, adjusting for poverty, racial composition, education, unemployment, insurance, and violent crime. Using bootstrap methodology, we tested mediation through sports/recreational facilities and food environment, mental health provider and primary care physician (PCP) access, and community mental distress. Data spanned 4 years (2016-2019) and included 2260 counties.

resultsAdjusted models indicated a 0.08 (95% CI, 0.05-0.10) increase in stroke deaths for every 1-unit change in imprisonment rate. This association was mediated by food environment (indirect effect, 0.006 [95% CI, 0.000-0.014]), primary care physician access (indirect effect, 0.002 [95% CI, 0.000-0.006]), and mental distress (indirect effect, 0.014 [95% CI, 0.007-0.022]). Counties in the top versus bottom quintile of imprisonment rates had 86.26% larger Black populations and 23.46% smaller White populations. Counties in the top versus bottom quintile of stroke death had 88.94% larger Black populations and 16.19% smaller White populations.

conclusionsOur results complement evidence that living in high-jail-incarceration counties contributes to stroke death and associated racial disparities. We provide new evidence on prison incarceration rates and the pathways underpinning this association. County-level imprisonment rates and the identified mechanisms represent avenues for further research into how stroke death and disparities may be mitigated.

Indexed as

Health Services AccessibilityPrisonersStress, PsychologicalStrokeAdultCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHealthcare DisparitiesHumansIncarcerationMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsUnited Statescerebrovascular healthmass incarcerationpopulation healthstroke deathstructural racism

Identifiers

PMID40357666
PMCPMC12184567

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.