Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40357298›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in medicine2025

Association between osmolality trajectories and mortality in patients with sepsis: a group-based trajectory model in large ICU open access databases.

Yipeng Fang, Xuejun Shen, Aizhen Dou, Hui Xie, Keliang Xie

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Article in Frontiers in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

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1citing papers in PubMed
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1 citing paper in PubMed.

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yipeng FangDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Xuejun ShenDepartment of Cardiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, Shantou, Guangdong, China.
Aizhen DouDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
Hui XieFifth Clinical College, XinXiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan, China.
Keliang XieDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: The regulation of osmolality levels is controlled by the endocrine system, reflecting the body's water and electrolyte balance. However, the relationship between dynamic osmolality trajectories and the prognosis of septic patients has not yet been reported. This study aims to investigate the predictive value of dynamic osmolality trajectories on mortality among patients with sepsis. Methods: A retrospective analysis was performed using the MIMIC IV and eICU-CRD databases. A total of 19,502 patients were included, 10,263 from MIMIC IV and 9,239 from eICU-CRD. Group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) analysis was performed to identify distinct osmolality trajectories. The association between these trajectories and in-hospital mortality was assessed by logistic regression analysis and further adjusted for potential confounders. Subgroup analysis was used to identify potential interactive factors and to assess the robustness of the present findings. Results: Five distinct osmolality trajectories were identified. Patients in the persistent hyperosmolality trajectory (Trajectory-5) had significantly higher in-hospital mortality compared to other trajectories, with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality of 233% (OR 3.33, 95% CI 2.71-4.09) and 150% (OR 2.50, 95% CI 1.97-3.17) in MIMIC IV and eICU-CRD respectively, with Trajectory-2 as reference. A dynamic increase in osmolality (Trajectory-4) was also associated with a 68% (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.39-2.03) and a 68% (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.44-1.97) increase in the risk of death, compared with Trajectory-2. Conversely, maintaining osmolality in the range of 290-300 mOsm/L (Trajectory-1 and Trajectory-2) was associated with a lower risk of death. Our results remained stable in the IPWRA and subgroup analyses. Conclusion: Our findings suggest that dynamic changes in plasma osmolality are significantly associated with in-hospital mortality in septic patients. Osmolality trajectory model provides a potentially effective, easily accessible and cost-effective biomarker for the prognostic assessment and clinical management of sepsis.

Indexed as

group-based trajectory modelingin-hospital mortalityosmolalityprognostic biomarkersepsis

Identifiers

PMID40357298
PMCPMC12066632

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