Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40357156›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in plant science2025

The variations of wheat-maize production, soil organic carbon, and carbon footprints: insights from a 20-year on-farm observational experiment in the North China Plain.

Ning Wang, Zhipin Ai, Qiuying Zhang, Peifang Leng, Yunfeng Qiao, Zhao Li, Chao Tian, Xinjie Shi, Hefa Cheng, Gang Chen and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in plant science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Ning WangShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Zhipin AiShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Qiuying ZhangChinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China.
Peifang LengShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Yunfeng QiaoShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Zhao LiShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Chao TianShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Xinjie ShiCollege of Resources and Environmental, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.
Hefa ChengThe MOE (Ministry of Education) Key Laboratory for Earth Surface Processes, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Gang ChenDepartment of Civil & Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Florida A&M University-Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States.
Fadong LiShandongYucheng Agro-Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Introduction: Climate change is a substantial threat to the global food supply, especially for the North China Plain (NCP), a critical agricultural region in China that exhibits high sensitivity and vulnerability to climate change. Under climate change, many uncertainties remain regarding crop yields, soil organic carbon (SOC), and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Methods: A 20-year on-farm observational study (2003-2022) of a winter wheat-summer maize rotation system was conducted to comprehensively quantify the continuous variations in crop productivity, SOC storage, GHG emissions, and carbon footprints (CFs) in the NCP. Results: A warming trend of 0.08°C per year and an annual increase of 57 hours in sunshine duration were detected over the study period. Both wheat and maize yields showed sustained improvements, with annual rates of 70 kg ha-1 and 184 kg ha-1, respectively. Wheat yields were primarily influenced by cumulative sunshine hours in November and soil total potassium (K) content, whereas maize yields were significantly affected by wheat-season agricultural inputs (water, N, P, K fertilizers) and initial soil properties (pH, N, P, K). Although wheat production generated higher GHG emissions than maize (7,307.5 vs 2,998.7 kg CO2-eq ha-1), the wheat season transitioned into a net carbon sink (CF < 0) due to SOC accumulation (0.58 g kg-1 year-1). Conversely, SOC depletion (-0.72 g kg-1 year-1) during the maize season resulted in a carbon source status (CF > 0). This divergence likely stems from contrasting straw management practices: wheat straw incorporation at 20 cm depth versus maize straw surface mulching. Discussion: Our findings demonstrate significant improvements in crop yields, SOC sequestration, and net ecosystem economic budget over two decades. However, the decelerating trends in yield gains and SOC accumulation rates warrant strategic attention to sustain long-term agricultural resilience.

Indexed as

agricultural practicecarbon sequestrationclimate changegreenhouse gas emissionslong-term field experimentsoil nutrient status

Identifiers

PMID40357156
PMCPMC12066458

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.