Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40355760›Full record

ArticleAging clinical and experimental research2025

Cost-effectiveness of opportunistic osteoporosis screening using chest radiographs with deep learning in Germany.

Jean-Yves Reginster, Ralf Schmidmaier, Majed Alokail, Mickael Hiligsmann

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging clinical and experimental research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Review
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  5. Consensus statement on the application of artificial intelligence in osteoporosis screening and management: perspectives from the Asia-Pacific region.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
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  7. Clinical and economic impact of deep learning-enhanced opportunistic osteoporosis screening using chest radiographs with and without the osteoporosis self-assessment tool for Asians (OSTA).Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jean-Yves ReginsterProtein Research Chair, Biochemistry Department, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6290-752X
Ralf SchmidmaierDepartment of Medicine IV, LMU University Hospital, LMU Munich, Munich, Germany.
Majed AlokailProtein Research Chair, Biochemistry Department, College of Science, King Saud University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Mickael HiligsmannDepartment of Health Services Research, CAPHRI Care and Public Health Research Institute, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands. m.hiligsmann@maastrichtuniversity.nl.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4274-9258

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOsteoporosis is often underdiagnosed due to limitations in traditional screening methods, leading to missed early intervention opportunities. AI-driven screening using chest radiographs could improve early detection, reduce fracture risk, and improve public health outcomes.

aimsTo assess the cost-effectiveness of deep learning models (hereafter referred to as AI-driven) applied to chest radiographs for opportunistic osteoporosis screening in German women aged 50 and older.

methodsA decision tree and microsimulation Markov model were used to calculate the cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained (€2024) for screening with AI-driven chest radiographs followed by treatment, compared to no screening and treatment. Patient pathways were based on AI model accuracy and German osteoporosis guidelines. Women with a fracture risk below 5% received no treatment, those with 5-10% risk received alendronate, and women 65 + with a risk above 10% received sequential treatment starting with romosozumab. Data was validated by a German clinical expert, incorporating real-world treatment persistence, DXA follow-up rates, and treatment initiation. Sensitivity analyses assessed parameter uncertainty.

resultsThe cost per QALY gained from screening was €13,340, far below the typical cost-effectiveness threshold of €60,000. Optimizing follow-up, treatment initiation, and medication adherence further improved cost-effectiveness, with dominance achievable by halving medication non-persistence, and in women aged 50-64.

conclusionAI-driven chest radiographs for opportunistic osteoporosis screening is a cost-effective strategy for German women aged 50+, with the potential to significantly improve public health outcomes, reduce fracture burdens and address healthcare disparities. Policymakers and clinicians should consider implementing this scalable and cost-effective screening strategy.

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisDeep LearningMass ScreeningOsteoporosisRadiography, ThoracicAgedFemaleGermanyHumansMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsArtificial intelligenceChest radiographsCost-effectivenessHealth economicsOsteoporosisPreventionScreening

Identifiers

PMID40355760
PMCPMC12069426

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.