Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40349275›Full record

ReviewJournal of neurology2025

Global burden of motor neuron disease: unraveling socioeconomic disparities, aging dynamics, and divergent future trajectories (1990-2040).

Kai Liu, Kun Zhang, Anquan Hu, Yumeng Li, Heyan Qin, Wei Sun, Xian Li, Feng Chen, Tao Liu

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Journal of neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Diverging trends in motor neuron disease burden in China: an ageing-driven increase despite declining age-standardised rates - a GBD 2021 analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Kai Liu *Geriatric Center, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Kun Zhang *Geriatric Center, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Anquan HuGeriatric Center, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Yumeng LiDepartment of Neurology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Heyan QinDepartment of Neurology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Wei SunDepartment of Neurology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Xian LiDepartment of Neurology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China.
Feng ChenDepartment of Radiology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China. fenger0802@163.com.
Tao LiuDepartment of Neurology, Hainan Affiliated Hospital of Hainan Medical University, Hainan General Hospital, Haikou, 570311, China. neurologyhopkins@hainmc.edu.cn.

Funding

Key Science and Technology Project of Hainan Province ZDYF2023SHFZ096Key Science and Technology Project of Hainan Province ZDYF2024SHFZ058National Natural Science Foundation of China 82160327
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesMotor neuron disease (MND) is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder associated with high morbidity and mortality. With global aging, the burden of MND is expected to increase, particularly in regions with rapidly aging populations. This study utilizes Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data to assess the global and regional MND burden from 1990 to 2021, examining trends by age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI), and projecting future trends to 2040.

methodsData from the GBD 2021 database for the years 1990-2021 were analyzed to evaluate age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR), incidence rates (ASIR), mortality rates (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for MND across SDI regions, age groups, and sexes. Temporal trends were explored using joinpoint regression analysis, while future projections were generated using the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model for 2021-2040.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, global MND prevalence increased by 68.43%, reaching 272,732 cases, while the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) slightly declined, reflecting the influence of population aging. Although global incidence increased by 74.54%, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) showed a modest decline, suggesting improvements in diagnostic practices. Mortality and DALY rates continued to rise globally, with high-SDI regions bearing the highest burden. Projections indicate that by 2040, global MND prevalence will decline slightly, while incidence, mortality, and DALYs will continue to rise in low- and middle-SDI regions due to aging populations. DISCUSSION: The global MND burden is heavily influenced by aging, particularly in high-SDI regions. Although incidence rates have slightly decreased, mortality and disability burdens are increasing, highlighting ongoing challenges in disease management and treatment. The findings stress the importance of age-targeted interventions, improving healthcare access, and addressing socio-economic disparities to mitigate the future impact of MND, particularly in low- and middle-SDI regions.

Indexed as

AgingGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthMotor Neuron DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceInfantMaleAging populationFuture projectionsGlobal burden of diseaseIncidenceMortalityMotor neuron diseaseSocio-demographic index

Identifiers

PMID40349275
PMCPMC12066381

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.